Sports, Betting and other stuff with TontonFleks

announcement

2009-02-12T06:48:00.001-08:00

After I misstyped on BetFair and by mistake validated. I killed my bankroll.
Terrible mistake, it was not even a bet to win but just a bet to hedge (to hedge USA - Mexico in case the U.S.A would not win).
The blog will once again enter a break period as I need to rebuild before continuing.

2009-02-11T10:17:00.000-08:00

Basketball: W1 - L0

Tau Win

Soccer: 1W - 3L

Albania-1 L

Holland L

USA W

Costa Rica over L

Hockey: 0W - 1L

AIK + Leksands L

2009-02-10T16:54:00.000-08:00

Hockey: 2W - 1L

Slovan + Kosice W

Valerenga + Chaux de Fond + lausanne L

Aalborg + herning + Grenoble + Briancon W

Basket: 2L - 2L

Red Star +3 L

Valencia L

San Antonio -4.5 W

Denver W

Soccer: 2W - 0L

Ukraine W

Serbia W

2009-02-09T10:56:00.000-08:00

Tennis: 1W - 0L
Granollers + Schwank W

Basketball: 0W - 1L
Houston-5-5 L

2009-01-30T13:18:00.001-08:00

Finally back... so here s my review for the period where I could not blog. (today s game still lacking).
As you can see I performed well in soccer and hockey, but basketball has been costing me a little bit.

Basketball: 96W - 90L
L Prokom Sopot
L Poznan
L Cleveland -6
W Nyork -5.5
L Oklahoma -2.5
W okla o 194.5
L Chicago-2
L New York over 202.5
W Charlotte +4
L Houston
L New Orleans
L Detroit -3.5
L Detroit u 185.5
W NJ+11.5
W Notre Dame-1
W Entente Orleans
L Toronto +8.5
L Denver u 221.5
L Kent St+8.5
L Delaware-6.5
W Old Dominion-3.5
W New Mex +2
W Spurs-3.5
L Toronto +9.5
W Old Dominion-3.5
L Hemofarm
L Purdue-2.5
W Uconn+3.5
L Texas-3.5
W Ohio State u134
W Siena +13
L Memphis o195
L New York-2
L Rhode Islad-10
L Houston-2.5
W Georgia+7.5
L Oklahoma +6
L Tennessee-2.5
W Nevezis-6
L Cincinnati-3
L Michigan-7.5
W Clev o 182
W Toronto o 191.5
W Clev o 182.5
W Den o198.5
W Philly +7.5
L Charleston+26
L Wright St +10.5
L Oreg St +20.5
L Iowa -2
L Chatanooga-6.5
L Dallas-8
W NY under 212
W Clev -4
W Philly -5.5
L Denv -4
W Pamesa +2
W FMP
W Cholet-6
W PAOK over 147.5
L George Wash-1
W Lville +2.5
W Flo State +9
L New Mex State
L Wash-3.5
W Charlotte Win
W Minnesota
L UNC -5.5
L Niagara-7.5
W UCLA-1.5
W over suns clips
W Orl +3
L Dallas -3
W Orl over 187.5
W Lakers overs 203.5
L Dallas over 201.5
L Notre Dame +6.5
W Portland-2.5
W Kansas-7.5
W Orl -7.5
W Phoenix u215
L Detroit o 176
W Miami-1
W Lakers -4
W Clev o185
W Clev-8.5
L Georgia St
L G Tech
W New York over 200.5
L Portland -2
L Utah -5.5
W Utah over 202.5
L San Antonio -2.5
W Miami +6
W Atlanta-2
W Wake Forest -3
W Boston-10
L Utah -5.5
W Mich State + Wake
L Cleveland -8.5
L Purdue-4
L North texas -8.5
L Flo Atlantic -4.5
W Bucks
L Knicks +3.5
W Loyola +6.5
L Detroit coll +4.5
L San Antonio -2.5
L Detroit-3.5
W Utah -4.5
L Adelaide +7.5
W Philly-2
L Utah+5
W Charl ov.177.5
L Spurs-4
W Spurs over 178
W Indiana under 209
W Minnes-4.5 NBA
W UAB-14
L Syracuse+8.5
L Manhattan-9
W Portland -2
W Anwil-1
L Minnesota +1
W Kentucky-7.5
W Phoenix -2.5
W New Orl-4.5
L Suns-6
W Charlotte-6
L Portl+1
L Mich State-11.5
W Baylor+3.5
W Louisville-10.5
W Thunder +6.5
L Dallas-1.5
W Celtics -5.5
L Connecticut-9
L Clemson+13.5
L Aliaga +6.5
W Gottingen
W Gran Canaria-1.5
W Bilbao-1.5
L Red Star-6
W Illinois-7
L Texas Tech-10
W Penn state-2
W Union Olympia
W Portland U
L California -18
L Wisc Mil -2.5
W Stanford-13
W Portland U-8
L Philly under 206.5
L Milw -7
L Alabama+4.5
W clemson
L Idaho-4.5
L Pittsburgh +3.5
L Ironi Ramat Gan
L Pesaro +8
L Lottomatica-5
W Florida-1
L Minnesota-4.5 NBA
L Charlotte +4
W Starogard
W Phoenix-4
W Minnesota +3.5
L Philly +3
L Red Star
W Trevise Hemofarm Bilbao
W Orl-9
W Denv.-5.5
W Purdue+1
W Buffalo
L Barca basket
W Chi + Oklahoma
L Atlanta
W Miami-8.5
L Minn +1.5
W Philly+5
W Chicag-3
W Kansas-4
L Hofstra-7.5
L Olymp-3
W Unicaja+1.5
W CSK Maccabi Olympiakos

Soccer: 30W - 15L
W Frosinone
W Leicester
W Sevilla
L Chelsea + Siena
W Cagliari
W Fiorentina
W Llanelli
W Reims over 2.5
W Emmen over
L Maastricht
W Roma
W Man U 1-0
L PAOK foot
L Dumbarton PK
L Hercules
W Genoa
W Panionios
W Toulouse
L Ipswich
L Burnley
L Leeds
L Santander
W 0-0 Stoke
W Lay 0-1 Cagliari
L Draw Chelsea
W Bruges
W Monterrey
L Trikala-3
W Francfort
L Hannover
W ballymena Irl
W Virton over
L Brentford
W Mansfield
W Man U + Tottenham
W Aston Villa
W Man City over
W Man City
W Maroussi
W Charleroi
W YB
W Tigres
L Gremio + Flamengo
L Zaragoza + Real Madrid
W Almeria

Hockey: 41W - 22L
W Montreal-0.5
L Litvinov-1
L Graz-0.5
W Tolzer + Kleybanova
W Amiens Briancon Strasb
W Chaux de Fonds
W Bern Davos Luga
W Villach
L Herning
W Pardubice
W Munchen
W Wolfsburg
L Iserlohn
W Zvolen+ Sparta
W DEG + Heilbronner
W Klag Totempo Kosic
W Philly u5.5
W Detr + Montreal
L Edmonton
L Rangers
W Mora Vaxjo Leksand
W Zurich PK
W Salavat-2
W NY Rangers
W Sarpsborg-1
W Hannover
W Moya + Wolfsburg
W Martin + Bystrica
WKosice + Karpat + Sarpsborg
W Vienna + Valerenga
W Vienna + Wolfsburg
L SJ
L Kosice + Sternjen
W Blues + Zvolen
W Sarpsborg + Olten
W Nashville
L Lillehammer
W Atlant
W Leksand -0.5 + AIK
L Karpat
W Leksands + AIK
L Bost Bruins
L Dynamo Moscou + Espagne
L DEG
L Karpat Jesenice
W Villach Aalborg Herning
W HV71
W Esbjerg Geneve Slovan Herning
L Pardubice Augsburger
L Slovan Leksands Tolzer
W VISP
W EHC Munchen
W Fribourg + Atlant + Valerenga
W Angers Grenoble Rouens
W Atlant Mytischi + Fribourg
L Ajoie + Ravensburg
W Liberec
W Sternjen + Stavanger
L Lorenskog
L Skalica + Sternjen
W Atlant
L Karlovy Vary
W Sarpsborg
L Storhamar valerenga
L Skelleftea

Tennis: 14W - 9L
W Tsonga + Del Potro
L Troicki
L Baghdatis
W Sela + Schuettler
W Keothavong
L Ginepri
W Hrbaty
L Gasquet
W Bollelli
W Pironkova
W Ruano Pascal
L Llodra
L Belluci
W Hanescu + Beck
W Safina + Penetta + Dulko
W Azarenka + Stosur + Penetta
W Baghdatis
L Tipsarevich
L Troicki
W Kanepi safarova Kleybanova
W Simon + Peng
W Monfils Simon Azarenka
L Djoko + Safina + Paes

Boxing UFC: 3W - 0L
W Dan Anderson
W Palhares by decision
W Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

2009-01-18T07:25:00.001-08:00

Sorry I could not post for sometime. Computer broke down.
I will update soon with all the picks I had in between.
Many wins... and many losses, too.

2009-01-06T14:09:00.000-08:00

Hockey: 6W - 2L
great day but stupid Davos prevents it from being superb
Sarpsborg-1 Win

Karpat Win
Hannover Win
Vienna + Valerenga Win
Kosice + Bystrica Win
Davos-0.5+ Wolfsburg Loss
Wolfsburg + Carlos Moya (tennis) Win
San Jose Loss

Soccer:
MK over 2.5 cancelled

Basketball: 2W -6L
Hemofarm Loss
Purdue -2.5 Loss
Texas -3.5 Loss
U Conn+3.5 Win
Rhode Island-10 Loss (9pts Win)
Georgia +7.5 Win

New York -2 Loss
Memphis ov.195 Loss
Leans:
Memphis-3.5
New York over 214

2009-01-05T14:24:00.000-08:00

Basketball: 3W - 4L
Notre Dame-1 Win
Delaware-6.5 Loss
Kent+8.5 Loss
Old Dominion-3.5 Win
New Mex State+2 Win

Toronto +8.5 Loss They had it all, just had to play real defense... they did not. + the fact that they got crushed during the last 30 seconds did not help!
Miami over 86 first half Loss Fix?

Hockey: 1W - oL
Rangers Win

2009-01-04T05:28:00.001-08:00

Not many picks today. I am getting tired of getting crushed by unlucky breaks.
The picks are good, but luck is just messing with me and it feels terrible when it happens days after days. I officially hate overtimes, last second field goals and teams that stop playing whenever they get a big lead!

So minimum service:

Soccer: 0W - 3L When things go bad it is for real
Valladolid Loss
Bilbao Loss
Benfica-1 very probable loss

Hockey:
Olten Win
Proprad Loss

Basketball:
Nordingen Win
Nitra-10 Win
Bystrica-3 Win
Handlova+2 Loss
Cleveland-8.5 Loss Wow... just wow.... How could they lose to the Wizards?

Coming back for more

2009-01-03T14:20:00.000-08:00

I am back for more even after Atlanta s horrible meltdown from yesterday.

For tonight a little of everything:

MMA:
Saint Pierre totally a fan pick.
Santiago Win

Hockey: 3W - 2L
Washington over 5.5 Furious offense from both sides lately Loss
Washington Win
Carolina better team Win
Philly Loss
Toronto Win

Lean: Dallas

Basketball: 4W - 5L - 1P
Bucks +1.5 They crushed them yesterday, why not again Loss
Miami -5 Better team + Wade can defend Harris Push Pfffffffffffffff. Second chance points suck.
Denver -3 Counting on some domination on the block with Chandler out. Those stupid motherfuckers led by 26 in the third... and right now 2 minutes from the end it is tied! With my luck they are gonna lose like the bitches they are!!! Win but they almost blew it
Atlanta-4 Counting big time on Houston s horrible offense of late Loss.. 1 pt vomit.
Philly under 188.5 Loss
NJ under 188.5 Counting on some guerilla defense from Spoelstra s guys. Loss FUCKING OT once again. The picks was good. Very good even. I hate overtimes!

Potros over 169.5 Win

South Alabama-2 Loss
Michigan State-3.5 Win
Wake Forest+3.5 Win

Tennis: 0W - 1L
Darcis (and I better win it, because I messed up on my stake... stupid . did not go where I intended it to be) Loss OUch.. believe me this one hurts

Lets have luck

2009-01-02T09:36:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 5W - 0L

Tottenham Win
Arsenal over Win
Manchester City over Win

St Mirren PK Win

Leixoes under Win

Hockey: 1W - 3L
Hannover Win

Colorado Loss
Vancouver Loss

Basketball: 3W - 3L
Baylor -4.5 1st half Win
Oregon +3 Loss Looked good in the first half, horrible in the second
Long Beach State -4 Win

Xalapa over 169.5 Loss
Cordoba over 167.5 Win

Atlanta-4.5 Loss THIS IS UNFUCKINGBELIEVABLE. Atlanta lost in O.T (they keep killing me).
AFTER LEADING BY 20 AT THE HALF. It was a big bet for me... that sucks so much !!!!!!!!
CANT I GET A BREAK?

NFL: oW - 1L
Indiana Loss... I thought for sure it was a win... until a last minute field goal saved San Diego. led them into O.T and then Indy lost. I am so cursed by the O.Ts!!!!!!

2009-01-01T12:31:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 2W - oL

Detroit over 5.5 Win
Washington -0.5 Win

2008 Recap

2009-01-01T10:37:00.000-08:00

Analysis:
I started the month badly in soccer and basketball. I kept on picking too many games in basketball. On the contrary I kept picking a small amount of games in soccer and had a very nice roll later in the month.
I am nearly done for College football, I have not been good for the bowl season.
I dont know if I can still be OK at NFL come the playoff.
I am pretty happy about my hockey record. Without one or two lost parlays my stats would have been awesome.
Picking a few mma and boxing matches has been a nice idea.
I can do much better in basketball. I have chosen too many games, I should be at 60% not 52... Shame on me. But I although have endured some tough ending (many times the O.T have killed my bets).
Let s roll nicely into 2009

2008 Record
Soccer: W57% 419W 318L 24P
Ice Hockey:W64% 230W 132L 14P
Basketball: W54% 335W 280L 17P
NFL: W61% 44W 28L 2P
NCAA Football:W55% 72W 58L 3P
Boxing: W75% 6W 2L P
Handball:W55% 11W 9L 4P
Tennis: W38% 5W 8L P
WNBA:W59% 10W 7L P

W57% 1132W 842L 64P

December 08
Soccer: W62% 61W 38L 5P
Ice Hockey:W70% 49W 21L 1P
Basketball: W52% 156W 145L 8P
NFL: W53% 9W 8L P
NCAA Football:W42% 5W 7L P
Boxing: W100% 3W 0L P
Handball:W57% 4W 3L 1P

Total:W56% 287W 222L 15P

November 08 record
Soccer: W47% 49Wins 56Losses 7Pushes
Hockey: W60% 32Wins 21Losses 6 Pushes
Basketball:W54% 129W 108L 8P
NFL: W62% 10W 6L 1P
NCAA Football:W74% 14W 5L 0P
Boxing: -
Handball: W50% 6W 6L 2P
Tennis: -

Total: W55% 240W 196L 23P

October 08 record
Soccer: W55% 165Wins 135Losses 10Pushes
Hockey: W61% 111Wins 72Losses 7 Pushes
Basketball:W69% 45W 20L 1P
NFL: W70% 14W 6L 0P
NCAA Football:W51% 26W 25L oP
Boxing:W100% 1W 0L 0P
Handball: W100% 1W 0L 1P
Tennis: W36% 4W 7L 0P

Total: W59% 376W 265L 19P

Closing on 2009

2008-12-31T09:22:00.000-08:00

I missed some games today. I did not know that there were so many games this early.
So here is my card.

Hockey: 2W - 3L
Finland (U20) Loss Ouch really did not think it was a possibility

Hershey Win

Anaheim Loss
Calgary Win
San Jose Loss

Leans:
Carolina
Florida

College Football: 2W - 3L I may be done for the bowl season. I keep on losing..
Pittsburgh +1 Loss
Georgia Tech -4 Loss
Boston College -3 Loss

leans:
Kansas -7 Win
Vanderbilt under 40.5 Win

Basketball: 7W - 5L

NCAA:
Michigan -3 Loss
Bradley +6.5 Win
Rutgers +15 Win
Southern Illinois -6.5 Loss
Notre Dame -6 Win
Gonzaga -5 Loss So much talent so little result
Parlay: UNC + Memphis + Notre Dame + Southern Illinois + LSU Loss... Southern Illinois kills it :(

lean:
LSU -16

NBA:
Orlando -5 Win
Detroit -5.5 Win
Philly -3 Win
Golden State -2 Loss
Denver -1.5 Win

J-2

2008-12-30T05:08:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 1W - oL

Morton PK Win

Hockey: 7W - oL
Zlin Win
Sinupret + Hannover Win
Herning (revenge factor) Win
Lukko Win
Ilves + Vasaan Win
Toronto Win

Lean: New Jersey Win

Basketball: 6W -5L
Atlanta +1.5 Big bet for me. Crossing my fingers. I really hope it is not a Vegas trap. Win
Boston -4 Loss How can they lose against a B.Roy-less Portland team????
Cleveland -4.5 and over 181.5 Loss cannot understand Win

Leans:
Charlotte-4 Loss
Phoenix-2 Win
Milaukee+8.5 Win

NCAA:
Illinois +8 Win
Clemson -2.5 Win
Butler -5 Loss (they won by 4)
Oklahoma -5 Loss

College Football: OW - 1L
Nevada-2 Loss

Last week of the year

2008-12-29T10:03:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 5W - 0L
Dynamo Moscow + AIK Stockholm Win

San Jose Win
Calgary Win
Rangers Win
Colorado Win

Basketball: 6W - 7L -2P

Ball State +11 Loss
Niagara-4 Win
Davidson -4 Push Bad ending Davidson was up 7 with 2 min to go
Tenessee Tech-2 Loss
Northern Colorado-4 Loss
Weber State + 19.5 Win
Cincinatti +12.5 Loss

Memphis +2.5 Loss Those O.T keep killing me, a good pick, unfortunate ending.
Houston under190.5 Win
Orlando -3 Loss
Utah -5.5 Win
Toronto Loss
Utah -3 1st half Win
Phoenix -4 1st half Win
Phoenix -8 Push

2008-12-28T06:48:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 2W -0L

Milton Keynes Win

Reading PK Win

Basketball: 8W - 5L
Bradley Win
Rutgers + 32.5 Win
Missouri State+ 2.5 Lean. Happy I did not play it, it would have been an absolutely disgusting ending. Mizzou leads by 10 at halftime, manages to get tied at the end of the game and proceeds to lose by...3 in overtime.
Western Kentucky +7.5 Loss close until the end.
Virginia +7.5 Win
Yale +18 Win

Denver -4.5 Win
Boston-11 Win
Denver under 220 Loss
New Orleans -4 Loss It would have been an easy one IF they had begun to defend earlier.

Hemofarm-9 badbeat loss They lead by 18 going into the fourth... then did not play hard any more.

Siena -12.5 Loss
Pesaro-4 Win

Tau + Dynamo Moscow (hockey SPengler Cup) Win

Hockey: 2W - 0L
Proprad looks good right now. Still one period to go. Win

Boston Win

NFL: 3W -2L

Indiana+10 + Giants +14 + Pittsburgh-4 Win

Leans:
Indiana +3 Win
Jacksonville +11 Loss
Miami+3 Win
New Orleans +1 Loss cloooose one.

Thrifty Picks

2008-12-27T10:01:00.000-08:00

My hard disk crashed so there wont be many picks coming for a short time.
Watching the Houston - Utah game I can now say for sure Yao is the most unclutch good player in the game. From the free throw line he is alright, but in play when the game is on the line he is so soft and takes such terribles shots. Good thing for Houston Artest makes a living at the line.

Basketball 1W - 6L Terrible night
Milwaukee-5 Loss
San Antonio under 191.5 Loss (thanks to the two overtimes...)

leans:
Orlando-8 Win
Oklahoma +7.5
Charlotte-2.5 THanks to the O.T! Loss

Hawaii -5 Loss
Portland -1 Push
Louisville under 142 tough loss...2 points

leans:
George Washington
UAB +14
Washington State +5 Loss

College Football: 1W - 1L
South Florida -5.5 Win
USC -9.5 Time to save this disappointing season Loss everything began well with a 14-0 lead but then Miami woke up and lost while offering a decent challenge.

Hockey: 0W - 1L
Atlant Mytischi + Salavat Ulyaev Loss

Soccer:
Lean:
Heracles

Garfield and Monday

2008-12-22T08:41:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 0W -2L

Chelsea I dont want to mess with this cashing machine named Chelsea Loss

Boulogne PK Strasbourg is not doing too well lately. A draw doesnt seem out of reach for Boulogne. Loss

Bad monday for my soccer predictions

Basketball: 10W - 4L
Houston-4 Win
San Antonio under 198 Win
Orlando under 218.5 Win
Parlay: Orlando + Lakers + Wake Forest Win

Ljubjana -4 loss 2pts loss

Marquette -1.5 Win Dominiiiiiic Jaaaaaaames!
Wright State-1 Win Very easily
Indiana-1.5 Loss
Seton Hall-3 Loss apparently not as good as in the past, it was kind of a blind pick.
San Diego State -12.5 Win

leans:
Split under 154 loss
Orlando -12 Win
Montana State +9 Win
Boise State +10.5 Win

Hockey: 3W - 0L - 1P
Ebsjerg over 6 (would rather have picked it a 5.5 but any way worth the risk) Push

Pittsburgh Win I got VERY lucky there
Edmonton Win
Toronto over Win

A little less talking, a little more action

2008-12-21T05:21:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 3W - 2L

Manchester City PK Loss Ouch, that is really not a good result for Man city. Losing points to such a weak club.

Sevilla PK Win

Ohlanense Loss It doesnt start well today, leaders cannot be trusted. Shame on them and on me for picking these lazy boys.

Galatasaray PK Win

Lean:

Barcelona Win

NFL: 2W - 3L

Tampa Bay under 43 Loss
Jets over 41 Loss
Minnesota -3 Loss
Buffalo+6.5 Win
New Orleans -6.5 Win

leans:
Tampa Bay-3
Houston-7

Basketball: 1W - 1L
Dallas-5.5 Win
Cleveland -12.5 Loss (my speciality... the 1.5 pts kind)

Lean: New York +13.5

Hockey: 2W - 0L
Boston over 5.5 Win

lean: Boston Win

Sucky sucky

2008-12-20T05:24:00.000-08:00

Yesterday was downright terrible because of the underdogs playing out of their mind in the NBA.
I can guarantee than New Jersey will not play better than they did yesterday. They could simply not miss.
Charlotte smoking Memphis was a big surprise to me. Afterall, Memphis was back on winning tracks.
The Knicks beat themselves by shooting the three balls over and over with no success and not taking care of the ball.

So.. Pick du jour. Hoping for some betterment.

Soccer: 8W - 2L
Burton Albion Win
Hull over Win

Inter Dominating the championship. Win

Real Madrid over two very high scoring teams Loss Could and should have been an over in the first half. Too many great chances wasted.
Athletico Madrid win or nil (if nil=Push) Win

Bnei Yehuda +0.5 Win

Leans:
RealMadrid (quite strong) New coach, good resolutions Win

PAOK

Crusader Belfast+0.5 Win Crusaders Belfast even won on a hockey score: 6-3

Ayr PK Loss
Berwuyck PK Win
Stenhousemuir PK Happy I did not play it, they lost at the 90th minute.

Basketball:10W - 8L - 2P
Panellinios +1 Loss

Mersin-4 Loss First time in a lifetime that Erdemir doesnt lose by a ton :(

Utah-1.5 they might be tired but i cannot take Chi-town over the Jazz Loss they forgot to play defense... stupid fuckers. They should have killed the Bulls they had a whola lotta fucking opportunities to do so.
Milwaukee-5 Clippers might be tired after two overtime games in a row. Win
Denver +5.5 They are good, yesterday Cleveland was just phenomenal. Loss. As usual a last minute one.
Houston-5 Win
Charlotte-6 Loss Jamal Crawford on fire. Enough said.
Phoenix under 222 Win
Lakers-1 Loss They had a fair chance at the win, but are not clutch right now.

Miami Ohio +8 Monster loss. West Virginia is totally on fire.
Denver +2.5Win
U.Conn +4 Win Stupid motherfucking referee fouled out Thabeet for nothing in the beginning of O.T!!!!!!!!!!!!!! The refs are still trying to screw U.Conn in the last minute of O.T bad call on a carry.
Boston College-5 Push
UNLV-2 Win
Northwestern+6 Push
Syracuse +8 Win
Purdue -4.5 Win
Texas-6 Loss after leading the whole way!

leans:
Duke -5.5 Win
VCU +13 Win

College Football: 0W - 1L
Navy+3 Best rushing offense in the nation. Has already beaten WF this year.
Loss. I dont know what the heck they did late in the game because last time I check the score they were behind 19-22 with 2mn to go (I would have push and won, on one book I had +3 and on the other +3.5... and two minutes later... they lost 29-19)

Hockey:2W - 1L
Boston Playing great lately. Win
Islanders over 5.5 Loss That is exactly why I dont like over under too much in hockey...
Ottawa Win

lean:
Chicago
Phoenix over 5.5

Boxing: 1W-0L
Osei Bonsu Win

Keeping alive the hot streak

2008-12-19T10:24:00.000-08:00

I am on a nice streak and I will try my best to keep it rolling into next year.

On the plate today (and tomorrow):

Soccer: 7W - 1L

AZ Alkmaar -1 Terrible results by their opponent last week. Alkmaar can score and defend. Win

Ajaccio-Montpellier over 2 Win
Montpellier +0.5 Montpellier is a good team. Ajaccio not getting the best results to close 08 Win
Guingamps Getting back nicely lately loss

Anderlecht Probably the best team in the league. Win

Aston Villa+0.5 Good form. Win
Scunthorpe PK Win
Wolwerhampton PK Win

Hockey: 2W - 2L

Straubing-0.5 They are getting better lately. loss

New Jersey Win
Minnesota (I will only play it if the line rises to 1.66 at the least)... Right now it is a no play.
Chicago over 5.5 Loss

Lean: Chicago Win

Basketball: 4W - 10L
Gran Canaria -5 Win
Unicaja -4.5 Loss
Pamesa Valencia -3.5 Loss

Panathinaikos under 155 Does not look good. Abormally high scoring game at the half. Loss

Trier +7.5 I may regret this pick. Played it purely based on numbers. We will see. Loss by my speciality spread... 0.5 pt!!!!

NCAA:
New Orleans-1 Loss

lean: Richmond +8... very weak lean, 95% no play. Would have been a win, but I did not play it.

NBA:
Boston under 196 Loss (no defense bulls thank you)
Dallas-3.5 Loss (NEts and specially Devin Harris EN Fuego)
Utah +3 Win
Memphis -3.5 Loss
Cleveland+1 Win
Golden State under 217 Win
teaser: Atlanta-3.5 + Lakers + Utah+10 Loss terrible finish
parlay: Lakers + Raptors + Wake Forest Loss

Horrible nba night.

leans:
Raptors-6
Wizards+1
New York-3.5 each would have been a loss... weird weird day in the NBA.
Lakers -7.5

Official "I will not play it but I may regret it" longshot parlay:
Lakers -7.5 + Dallas -3.5 + Memphis-4 + Raptors -6 + Cleveland+1 + New Orleans University

Boxing/MMA: 2W -0L
Evans Win
Holyfields/Valuev: more than 9 rounds. Win
It is a travesty that the judges scored Valuev over Holyfield, the big statue could barely touch Holyfield the whole fight. Va luev got punched quite a lot in the face, even he doest even shiver when he is hit.

Spiritual guidance

2008-12-18T06:04:00.000-08:00

Onto another day of action:

Soccer: 3W - 1L

Paris Saint-Germain Has to win to qualify, opponent is already qualified Win
Stuttgart Sames applies Win
Olympiakos Very good home team. Win
Tottenham One class above, and the Russian league is in the middle of its break, so Spartak might not be in the best physical condition. Loss. Spartak is really lucky to escape with the tie. They were totally manhandled by Tottenham in the second period.

Basketball: 6W - 1L
Efes Pilsen +2.5 Revenge factor, better team inside. Win
Alba under 161.5 Scrappy home team with less talent, has to defend more to have a shot. Win

Braunschweig In better form lately Loss Was not a bad pick, just one bad quarter away. They won 3 out of the 4 quarters.
Siaulai Kind of a blind pick. Siaulai is a good team, but I dont know anything about its opponent. Win

Troy-1 Florida Atlantic just plains sucks, fading them. Win
Evansville +29.5 Sure UNC will crush them, but 30 points is a lot to lay to this team. Win

San Antonio under 192.5 Great defense lately. Win

Leans:
Le Mans Maccabi is already qualified. Le Mans is looking for its first win, and has been close a few times.

Phoenix +5
Spurs +4

Cincinnati-4
Iona +4
Niagara -3.5
South Alabama -3.5
Montana +2.5
Northern Colorado +6.5
Lafayette-2.5

Hockey: 1W - 0L
Pittsburgh Win

Boarding school

2008-12-17T06:21:00.001-08:00

Today there is a big board to play:
My picks:

Soccer: 7W - 2L
Ecuador PK Not a bad team at all. Some nice results I cannot see them losing. Draw or Win for me. Win

Hamburg Already qualified, same for its opponent. Give it to the home team. Win
Hereenven over: no pressure. Offensive teams. Win
Lech Poznan PK + over: Has to win amd to score to qualify, opponent does not. Win Loss
AC Milan+ over: no pressure. Lean towards the over but not sure without Kaka playing. Loss Win a really beautiful game.
Valencia PK: no pressure, but could want to attain first place Win

Porto Simply a much better team. Win

lean: ajax. Bad odds for now.

Basketball: 8W - 7L
Philly -4 better defensive team. Found and played it a -3.5 Win
Utah -3 Revenge factor. + The Nets cannot get lucky everytime. Found and played it at-2 Win
Boston -3.5 I cannot pass on that type of spread, even if Atlanta is a tough nut to crack. Loss for 0.5pts
Clippers +3.5 Good starters. PLaying better recently. Read 3 Bulls players had the flu. Worst loss of my life, even worst than the Chicago badbeat I endured yesterday. Clippers up by 4 with 20 seconds to go. Ben Gordon hits a three with the foul, et ties the game. Then Dunleavy who is probably the worst coach to draw a final play chooses to give the ball to Thornton one on one, when Randolf simply could not miss in the final minutes. A Nocioni flop later... Clips loses by 5 in overtime.
Cleveland + Illinois State + Arkansas Win

Montepaschi Siena under 153 2 good teams fighting for the top spot. Probably a slow game. Win
Joventut +2 value bet. I think it is 50% to win the game, so taking the plus side. Loss

Neptunas -9. Playing a very weak team that is getting destroyed weekly by 10+ pts. Loss
Gottingen -9 Manageable risk. Bremerhaven is really weak, but no lock by any means. Win

Illinois State -5.5 Loss
Akron + 9 Win
Jackson State +12 Loss
E. Carolina + 9.5 Loss
Siena +18 Not that bad of a team Win
Arkansas -6 Win

leans:
Ark little Rock +22
Portland State -5.5
Santa Clara +9.5
Texas Tech +1.5 College Station s fans enough to will the team to the win?
Duquesne -4

You can see a very annoying pattern, I tend to lose game by 1, never win by 1!!!!

Hockey: 2W - 0L
JYP Home team, practically never loses. Why not? Win It wasnt easy but they eventually won

AIK Stockholm. Very good home team coming back from a rare home loss. Win

Abracadra

2008-12-16T14:15:00.000-08:00

In my crystal ball I see:

Basketball: 3W - 3L
Clippers -4.5 Win
Chicago (because G.Wallace is out for Charlotte tonight) Loss. Sure the Bulls could not stop my mother from scoring on them, but this was a mix between a major choke job (Fire Del Negro! Force this team to go inside a little bit) and a refereeing scandal. The refs saved Charlotte s ass with the"foul" on Augustine to force overtime. Augstine was not even touched on the play!!! And then lots of bail out calls all in favor of Charlotte!! I am totally disgusted right now.

New Orleans -5.5 Win Hornets made me sweat blowing a big lead, before playing good efficient basketball again in the fourth quarter

teaser: Sacramento +19.5 + New York +20.5 + New Orleans +1 Loss Sacto waving the white flag during the third and fourth quarter certainly did not help.

Olympiakos-12 Win

Vanderbilt over 126 Loss I expected Vandy to score 70+, but I thought South Florida could an score more than 50

Hockey: 1W - 0L
Washington Win It was tougher than expected with the Capitals blowing a big lead!

Leans:
Chicago
Ottawa

Careful picking

2008-12-15T05:06:00.000-08:00

Handball: 0W - 1L
Redbergslid -2.5 far from a lock, but nice value. Loss I did not even know there could be ties in handball

Basketball: 3W - 1L
Denver +2 The Nuggets have showed way more than the Mavs, even if Carmelo is not 100% I like their chances better. Win

Orlando-2 A team that plays a little defense against one where defense is a naughty word. Win

lean:
Toronto -4 Big rivalry. Toronto wants to redeem itself after losing against them in O.T last week.

Syracuse -12.5 Loss They lost outright, I really did not expect that.
Cal Riverside -2.5 battle of the crappy teams! Win

THe end of the Syracuse game. That shot hurts.

Pick party

2008-12-14T05:38:00.001-08:00

Too many picks but anyway lets try to do something with it

Hockey: 3W - 2L
Hannover -0.5 Win

Vitkovice-1 Loss (choke job by Vitkovice, who sank late in the game)

Totempo +0.5 Loss

MVD Tver Win

Mikulas -1 Win

Basketball: 7W - 0L

New Orleans-2 Win

Aliaga Petkim -5.5 Win

Ludwigsburg -2.5 Win

Starogard Gdansk Win

PAOK -4.5 Win

Biella+4.5 Win
Lottomatica -4.5 Win

Soccer: 4W - 1L

Udinese PK Win The fuckers nearly blew it after leading 3-0!!!!!
Reggina PK Loss

Groningen over 2.5 Win
Volendam under 3.5 Win

YB -1 Win

Handball: 2W - 2L - 1P
Aahrus +2 Push

Chambery -6.5 Loss (so cloooose)

Runar -3.5 Win
Haslum -8.5 Loss

Alingsas -6.5 Win

2008-12-13T03:56:00.001-08:00

Basketball: 6W - 5L
Cleveland -5.5 Loss. Phenomenal game. LeBron was a monster. Mike Brown fucked up a little bit with his defensive schemes.
Detroit -1.5 Win
Utah -4.5 Loss

Egaleo -5 Win
Maroussi -3.5 Win

Tennessee -6 Loss
Xavier -2 Win
Butler +8.5 Win
Oregon -7 Loss
St Peter +12.5 Loss... did not miss by much :(
Eastern Kentucky +4 Win

Soccer: 4W-1L

Genk Win
Tournai Win

Bayern Munchen PK Win
Werder Bremen PK Win

Leyton Loss

Hockey: 0W -1L
Visp loss

Finding Neverland

2008-12-12T10:46:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 2W - 2L - 1P

MK Dons PK Win

Dortmund-1 Push

Venlo PK Loss
Cambuur PK Win
Helmond PK Loss
Stupid jupiler league... favorites cannot justify their status there!

Hockey: 3W - 0L
Kloten -1 Win
Zurich Win

Ravensburg Win

NHL leans:
I havent looked at the lines yet: none played (bad lines)
Boston
Calgary
Detroit

Basketball: 5W- 7L
Arkansas Little Rock -7.5 Loss
Drake -11.5 Loss... for 0.5pt
Florida International over 133.5 Loss, looked so good in the first half... choke job
Drake under 142 Loss

NBA:
Chicago -2 Loss looked great at the half, I wonder what happened, an injury?
Houston -1.5 Win
Orlando +2 Win
Cleveland over 189 Loss the teams could not throw a rock into the sea today.
teaser: Chicago +3 + Houston +3.5 + San Antonio-3

Lean:
Toronto +4 Win
San Antonio-7 Win
Cleveland -10 Win
Indiana under 200.5 Loss

Official I will not bet if but I might regret it pick:
Atlanta + Toronto + Houston-2 + Chicago-2.5 + Orlando + Detroit-6. Pays 66/1

Christmas Rally ?

2008-12-11T05:40:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 2W - 1L

Montreal -0.5 Very good team on a winning streak Loss

Valerenga -0.5 Best team in the league after a disappointing performance Win

Lean:

Lillehammer -2.5 Win

Basketball: 1W -3L

Joventut Badalone -5.5 Team is back in good shape, Rubio should play. Roma is already nearly qualified for the next round. And not performing well lately (domestically) Loss due to a weak fourth quarter, not for much.

Villanova -10 Loss
Kansas State -5 Win
Long Beach State+1.5 . Two bad teams facing one another except Long Beach fared better against its opponents. Line is in the +. I have to take the value. Loss terrible second half

A win-win bet with San Miguel on bet365 and CocaCola TIgers on paddy :) HAMMERED!

Trying to be more consistant

2008-12-10T06:10:00.000-08:00

I have not been a model of consistance since the beginning of the month.
I need to look back on some fundamentals. It will probably be much better in 09, but till then I am looking to have some more solid plays.

Handball: 1W - 0L

IF Guif-1.5 Pretty good form + revenge factor Win

Soccer: 1W - 0L- 1P

Bellinzona PK Battle of the worst Swiss teams, taking the better of the two. cancelled (weather)

Manchester U. over. No pressure on either side, Aalborg in a lot of high scoring games lately. Win

Basketball: 8W - 3L

Zalgiris +22.5 Too big of a spread, even if they really should not be close to Siena. Win
CSKA under 146.5 Many players injured for CSKA might slow their high powered offense, and still CSKA can defend. Loss
Partizan +9.5 Madrid is inconsistant but talented, Partizan always fights. Win

Gonzaga -4 Too much talent on Gonzaga. Win
Boise State +18.5 Lot of points to cover for BYU Loss Very strange game, it was really close throughout the first half and then... kaboom Boise State imploded
Princeton+4 two mediocre teams, at least princeton plays its own offense well. Ugly 1 pt loss
Princeton was the good pick for 9/10 of the game...but not for the final score.
Pesaro Mostly a pick on Caserta not playing too well lately. Win

NBA:

Toronto -3 Win Special games for J.O. Calderon will want to prove he was the right choice. Plus, they dont want to start a crap streak with their new coach after they got destroyed by Cleveland.

Memphis -3 Win if they can beat the Rockets (albeit without some starters), they should be able to put the Oklahoma Suckers away.

Cleveland -6.5 Win Cleveland has been absolutely blowing out teams while resting its starters!

Lean: New York +8.5 Win

Hockey: 0W - 3L

ALmunta Been winning lately. Loss

Pittsburgh gut feeling. Loss As you can see, you cannot trust my gut

Detroit -0.5 they have been playing well lately, only losing to the streanking Bruins. Loss
Detroit won coming from behind, (luckily) but they only won in O.T.

Official " I wont play it but I might regret it" parlay:

Toronto + Cleveland -6.5 + Memphis -2 + Golden State -1.5 REGRETS I would have won 13/1

With a Bang

2008-12-09T10:29:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 2W - 1L -1P

Lisbon PK Win

Histon Loss
Kidderminster Win
Reading-1 Push

Basketball: 4W - 6L
NBA:
Utah -4.5 Loss (guess what.. my speciality the one point kind)
Cleveland over 194 Win
Portland over 187 Win
Detroit -4 Loss. Goddamn they suck. The Iverson trade really disrupted the whole team balance. Some very questionnable calls in favor of the Wizards, too.
San Antonio +1.5 Win

lean:
Atlanta +4.5 ( I need to know if Artest will play or not)
Portland -5

NCAA:
Marist +15.5 My speciality a one point loss
Villanova +3 Loss
Purdue -11 Win
Toledo+5 Loss
Virginia Tech-3 Loss
I should have played the first halves only, I would have won every games except for Toledo.

leans:
West Virginia (if the line could come back to + it would be nice)
North Iowa +7.5

Handy Bandit

2008-12-08T07:05:00.000-08:00

Handball: 1W - 0L

Sävehof -6 Win

Soccer: 4W - 2L

Aarhus +0.5 Win

Vicenza +0.5 Win

Nurnberg Win

Tottenham draw Loss (not a bad pick, no goals till the 70th minute)

Leixoes +0.5 Loss
Braga+0.5 Win

Basketball: 5W - 2L

Orlando + Houston Loss
Golden State Win
Houston -6.5 looks terrible. No Artest... bad surprise! Loss
Orlando -3 Win

Ohio -5.5 Win
TCU -2 Win

lean: Hawaii + 23 Win

Hockey: 1W - 0L

Boston Win

Official "I will not play it but I might regret it" parlay of the day:

Hawaii+23 + TCU + Ohio + Orlando-3 + Golden State + Houston -7.5
Well, the only mistake has been Houston... and had I known Artest would not play it would not have been a pick.

CHallenge

2008-12-07T05:42:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 3W - 4L -1P
Grashoppers over Loss and vomit

Oostende Loss

Wolfsburg-1 Push

Ebsjerg PK Win
Aalborg PK Win

Betis Sevilla Loss

Willhem PK Loss

Beira Mar Win

Hockey: 4W -3L
Kazan -1.5 Loss and wow :o

DEG Metro Stars Loss and re-wow
Ravensburg Win
Tolzer Lowen Win

Visp-1.5 Loss
Ajoie Win

Karlovy Win

Basketball: 2W - 11L
NBA:
Portland -2 Loss... is it possible for life to suck more? Once again a 1 pt loss
Boston -7.5 Has not been looking good since halftime. Loss.... I hoped during overtime until that dumbfuck Scalabrine screwed me with his no talent ass fouling Granger without any reason!!!!!!
Detroit -6.5 Loss
Boston -3 first half Loss
Portland first half Loss

Fairfield -3 guess what... another 1 pt loss
Oklahoma -5.5 Win At Last a cover
Niagara -5 Win
Kansas State +2 Loss (rescue me please pick... that buried me even deeper)

Caserta +6 Loss
Nancy -12 Loss
Siena -10 Loss (2pts)
Galatasaray -14 Loss. Will I ever get a break, once again it is a loss by 1 freaking point!!!!!!

NFL: 4W - 3L
New England -6.5 Loss
Pitt -3 Win
Chicago-6 Win
Minnesota-10 Loss
Jets -3.5 Loss
Miami +1 Win
Baltimore -5 Win

Brain DEAD

2008-12-06T06:15:00.000-08:00

Today I will try something new in soccer. Playing a lot of picks and... a lot of big lines.
This way I dont have to win that many to be in +. However it is very risky, so beware.

Soccer: 5W - 10L - 1P Horrible record but not that bad in negative due to big odds.

Godoy +0.5 Win

Wigan +1.5 Win
Hartlepool Loss
Milton Keynes + over Loss Loss
Oldham Loss
Reading over Loss
Hereford +1 Win
Watford+1 Push
Shrewsbury Win

Bielfeld Loss
Stuttgart+0.5 Win
Bochum draw Loss

Marseille draw Loss
Lille Loss

Arnhem draw Loss

Basketball: 17W - 16L -1P

Cleveland -8 Win
Denver -5 Win
Miami -10 Loss those fucking 4th quarters! Miami was up 15 and then crapped the bed.
Utah +6 Win
Cleveland over 90 first half Push If only Charlotte could shoot more than 30%...

PAOK -4.5 Loss horrible fourth quarter beats me

Orleans -2 Win
Villeurbanne -14 Loss

Kalev +4.5 Win

Giessen +1.5 Win
Gottingen +4.5 Loss (once again fourth quarter killed a nice pick)
Alba Berlin -11.5 Loss
Brose +3.5 Loss (fourth quarter killed a nice pick)

Rytas -7 Loss (big surprise)
Kaunas -8.5 Win

Domzale +5 Loss
Partizan -6 Win

Starogard Gdansk -7 Win

NCAA:
South Florida -1 Loss
Wyoming -9 Loss
Murray State -6.5 Loss
Eastern Kentucky -6 Loss
Citadel +6.5 Win
Western Carolina +11 Win
Penn State -6.5 Loss
Dayton -1.5 Win
Samford +9 Win
Utah-12 Loss
Tennessee State +1 Win
Washington State -2 Loss
Notre Dame -2 Loss
Wisconsin +5 Win
Austin Peay-2 Win
Appalachian State Win

Hockey: 1W - 0L
Servette -0.5 Win

End of the week sport tips

2008-12-05T09:08:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 3W - 4L

Stormvogels Telstar Loss

Hoffenheim +0.5 Loss

Boulogne Loss

Bari half time draw Win

Sturm Graz Loss

Argentinos draw Win

Arsenal de Sarandi Win

At least I won those with the nice odds! :/

Hockey: 5W - 1L

Klagenfurt-1 Win

Iserlohn Loss
Sinupret Win
Munich Win
Bietigheim Win

Sierre + AIK Stockholm + Leksand Win

Basketball: 3W - 5L
Maddening night, if only the Lakers had played till the end, the teaser would have easily gotten me into +.

NBA:
Portland +8 Loss
Clippers Loss
New Jersey -6 Win

teaser: Lakers-4.5 + NJ+0.5 + Orland0-6 + Cleveland-4 Loss FUCKING STUPID LAKERS.
How to be up 19 pts with 6 minutes to go and then stop playing defense... hell stop playing basketball ! LAke Show = a very very good team with no pride

Gravelines-4.5 Win

Decin -4.5 Loss

Arizona +4.5 Win
Iona-2 Loss

Fastlane picks

2008-12-04T10:50:00.000-08:00

Not much time on my hands today so I will keep it short and simple:

Basketball: 4W - 4L
Maccabi + Florida (college football) Win
Denver -3.5 (really high risk pick) Loss

No leans today I will play them all.
I hesitated to pick Oklahoma -4.5 first half against USC... but I eventually chose not to, too many points.

Charleston -4 Win
Connecticut -15 Loss
UCLA + 7 Win
Greensboro -6 Loss
Austin Peay -6 Win
Cleveland State -3 Loss

Soccer: 1W - 0L
CSKA Moscow+0.5 Win

Dont hurt me anymore

2008-12-03T08:04:00.001-08:00

Yesterday I got killed in Basketball.
Horrible badbeats came my way in the Denver game, in the Lakers game and in the Chicago game.
Some other picks trashed me hard in unlikely ways.

Lets get back to business:

Basketball: 9W - 7L - 2P
Siena -9.5 Win
Real Madrid -5.5 Loss
Lean: Avellino +15.5 not played

Lakers -8.5 Win
Portland -6.5 Loss 0.5 pts DAMN never on the good side of the coin flip
Atlanta -8 Win
Atlanta under 200 Push
Charlotte under 192 Loss
Portland over 191 Loss.. 1 pts
Cleveland under 216 Win

Leans:
Utah -3.5
New York +15
Phoenix +7.5 dont think I ll play it, word is : No Shaq, no Nash
Clippers +11.5

NCAA:
East Carolina +2 Win
Rhode Island -1.5 Win
Richmond +6 Win
UNC -9.5 Win
UC Davis -4 Loss
Siena -7 Push
Niagara-7 Loss
Boise under 151.5 Loss
Michigan over 128 Win
Leans:
Rider -2
San Francisco -4

Soccer: 0W - 1L

Manchester City over Loss
lean: Manchester City

Hockey: 0W - 1L
Magnitogorsk Loss WTF. Unbelievable losing against such a weak team as this level.

College Football: 2W - 1L (picks are for the end of the week, but I want to catch the line now)
Boston College PK Loss
Florida -9.5 Win
Oklahoma + Florida Win

One pick after the other.

2008-12-02T05:57:00.000-08:00

Hockey: 1W - 2L :(
Vienna Win

Mikulas Loss
Davos -1 Loss

lean:
ToTempo

Soccer: 1W - 1L (would have been better if I had hit Wycombe and lost Bournemouth)
Wycombe draw Loss
Bournemouth +0.5 Win

Basketball: 9W - 12L - 1P
I am really disappointed. Everything that could go wrong, went wrong. Probably a lot fewer NBA picks tomorrow!

Lakers -8 Loss WTF happened when I quit watching the game the Lake Show was leading by 10 in the third without forcing their talent!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
New Jersey -5.5 Loss. looking very bad. horrible third quarter
Portland -6 Win
Lakers-4 + Porland-2 + New Jersey-1 Loss
Utah Win
Bulls 1st quarter Loss
NJ-2 1st quarter Loss
Denver under 207 Loss (everything was OK until the Nuggets scored 249 pts in the second half)
Chicago under 195 Loss Overtime ruined the easy win
Dallas under 198.5 Win (by a hair)
Detroit under 186.5 Win

Dayton under 143 Loss... by a whole lot, not a typical Dayton game
Illinois -1 Loss The fuckers sucked in the second half after holding a big lead
LSU -13 Push
Marquette -23 (huge number not a strong pick) Loss
Villanova -13 Win
Houston +3 Win
Colorado State-4 Loss

Leans :

Purdue if the line keeps on towards going + not played, line did not move.
Iowa + 9 Win
Cleveland State -7 Win
South Illinois over 114 Loss (the fuckers... 5 mn to score 14 between both teams and they cannot manage it)
Ohio State +9 Win

December

2008-12-01T06:38:00.000-08:00

First my debut picks for this month

and later I will have a little recap on how it all went in November.

Basketball: 3W - 1L
Starogard Gdanski Loss

Kansas -12 Win
Arkansas State+4 Win

Charlotte-3 Win

Soccer: 1W - 1L
Reading -1 Win

Lens -1 Loss

As you can see I faltered a little bit in november. The problem comes from soccer where the compiled record for november is dismal not even hitting 50%. I will try to fix that as soon as possible.
I am pretty sure I can do better in basketball if I stop having that many plays, but value is tought to resist.
Now lets have a nice streak till Christmas.

November record
Soccer: W47% 49Wins 56Losses 7Pushes
Hockey: W60% 32Wins 21Losses 6 Pushes
Basketball:W54% 129W 108L 8P
NFL: W62% 10W 6L 1P
NCAA Football:W74% 14W 5L 0P
Boxing: -
Handball: W50% 6W 6L 2P
Tennis: -

Total: W55% 240W 196L 23P

All time record
Soccer: W56% 358W 280L 19P
Ice Hockey:W62% 181W 111L 13P
Basketball: W57% 179W 135L 9P
NFL: W64% 35W 20L 2P
NCAA Football:W57% 67W 51L 3P
Boxing: W50% 2W 2L 0P
Handball:W54% 7W 6L 3P
Tennis: W38% 5W 8L 0P
WNBA: W59% 1oW 7L 0P

W58% 844W 620L 48P

pro memoria:

October record
Soccer: W55% 165Wins 135Losses 10Pushes
Hockey: W61% 111Wins 72Losses 7 Pushes
Basketball:W69% 45W 20L 1P
NFL: W70% 14W 6L 0P
NCAA Football:W51% 26W 25L oP
Boxing:W100% 1W 0L 0P
Handball: W100% 1W 0L 1P
Tennis: W36% 4W 7L 0P

Total: W59% 376W 265L 19P

Glorious Day

2008-11-30T06:44:00.000-08:00

Yesterday was glorious.
So today, I will allow some fantasy in my picks (the draws).

Soccer: 2W - 1L
Everton draw Loss

Bochum draw Win

Tigre Win

Basketball: 4W - 4L
Ventspils +10 Loss

Inowroclaw -1.5 Loss

Portland over 186 Loss

Oklahoma State -1 Win finally got it to go
Vanderbilt +1 Win
Georgetown -4.5 Win

Leans:
Arizona State -8 Win
Louisville -9 1st half

pretty strong parlay:
Louisville + Siena + New York Jets (nfl) Loss

Hockey: 1W - 1L
Tichy-3 Win
Podhale-2 Loss

NFL: 1W - 3L
Buffalo -6 Loss
Giants over 40 Loss
Indiana -4.5 Loss... should have bought the hook, loss for 0.5 pts
Baltimore -6.5 Win

Fuenlabrada

2008-11-29T01:29:00.000-08:00

Basketball: 12W - 3L
Fuenlabrada -3.5 Win

Kalev-1 Win

DePaul-10 Loss That is what happens when DePaul leads by 20 at halftime and then plays its weak subs.
South Florida-3 Win
Vanderbilt-3.5 Win
Miami of Ohio+9 Win
Houston -7.5 Win
Penn State-7 Win

Atlanta+1.5 found a better line than before Win
Boston-7.5 Loss
Denver-4 Win
Dallas-4 Win
Cleveland -6.5 Win

Bonn Win
Alba Berlin-5 Loss

Soccer: 1W - 1L - 2P
Juventus-1 Win

Ried-1 Push

Zurich-1 Push
Thun Loss Monster surprise.

College Football: 3W - 0L
Boston College-6 Win
Florida-15.5 Win
Oklahoma-7 Win

Fantastic Friday

2008-11-28T10:32:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 3W - 1L
Ajoie Win
Kloten Loss Should have bet on Bern with the revenge factor. Bad choice.

Riessersee Win

Anaheim Win(Chicago is good, but historically they dont do well during their big november trip, so their recent success has to stop :)
Soccer: 1W - 1L -1P
Banfield draw Loss
Lanus Win

Koln+1 Push

College Football: 3W - 0L
Ohio PK (made some days ago) Win
Bowling Green-1 Win
Nebraska over 57 Win

Basketball: 5W - 5L - 2P
Oldenburg-2 Push

Gonzaga-5 Win
Oklahoma+2.5 Win
Kentucky-2 Push
Utah-4 Win
Wake Forest -8.5 Loss
Arizona State -1 Loss

teaser:
Gonzaga-1.5 + Kentucky+2.5 + Wake Forest-4 + Utah+0.5 Loss Wake FOrest for 1 pt :(

Leans:
Duquesne +22
Dayton -3.5

NBA: 2W- 2L -1P
lots of tough lines

Minnesota -2 Push
Phoenix-8 Loss Had I known Nash would not play, I would never have picked them.
Utah-9 Win
San Antonio-9 Win

teaser:
Minnesota+3 + Utah-5.5 + San Antonio-4.5 + Phoenix-3 Phoenix... Loss Nash s absence :(

MAD

2008-11-27T04:33:00.000-08:00

Basketball: 3W-3L

Orlando -2.5 Win
Come on the Wizards still suck, and this time they are against a team than can catch a rebound or two.

Gonzaga -7 Win
Wake Forest -12 and over 157 Loss Loss
Providence +4 Loss
Arizona State -6.5 Win

Soccer: 1W - 0L

Valencia Win

probably a lot of draws in the late games. I was right. a draw in 50 % of the games. If you played them all you would have made a little more than 33 % profit.

No surrender!

2008-11-26T04:30:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 1W - 1L -1P

Leksand -2 Push
AIK Stockholm -2 Loss. Big surprise, the best home team in the league lost at home against the worst away team

lean: Jokipojat -0.5 Win

Leans:
San Jose
Boston

Basketball: I decided I needed to go bonkers today. Lots of plays. It will be dangerous for my bankroll. Rise up or crash time!

Result: CRASH 6W - 9L

Bonn -8.5 Win
Jerusalem -11 Loss
Avellino +8.5 Win
Partizan +10 Win
Panathinaikos -8 Loss.. they won by...7

Oklahoma-3 Win
Denver-1 Loss... in overtime fuck it
Nevada-7 Loss

Leans:
Fordham-4
Notre Dame+11
Butler-4

NBA:
Portland over 193 Loss (no helps from Miami)
Sacramento under 211 Loss. It was good. But the overtime killed me
Indiana over 190.5 Loss
Boston over 202 Win
Toronto over 186 Loss
Orlando +2.5 line went to +5. Must be something I dont know. Win
Boston -11.5 if Golden State plays like yesterday there will be a 40 pts differential, but I doubt they will play as bad. Loss

Lean:
Denver -4

The I wont play it, but it could be awesome pick of the night is:
Notre Dame + Orlando + Phoenix-4 + Denver University= odds 57:1

Soccer: 1W - 1L

Roma Win it was a big bet. Pretty happy with the result :)

Chelsea Loss

Still at the wheel

2008-11-25T09:03:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 2W - 1L

Milwall Win
Milton Keynes -1 Win
Darlington-1 Loss

Hockey: 4W - 0L - 1P
Villach -0.5 Win

Herning over 6 Win

Hannover -0.5 Win

Sierre -1 Push

Yaroslavl -1.5 Win

Basketball: 4W - 6L
parlay:
St Joseph + Cleveland + Phoenix + Lakers Win

teasers:
Golden State+5 +Cleveland-1 + Phoenix-3 Loss fucking G.S was absolutely horrible. (Fix?)
Lakers-6.5 + Cleveland -1 + Phoenix-3 Loss Phoenix played bad and without SHaq :(

Phoenix -9.5 Loss
Cleveland -7.5 Win
Dallas -7.5 Loss
Golden State -2 Loss
I dont know if these fuckers were drunk or if they just plain suck, but it was the worst game of nba basketball I have ever seen. With their D I could have scored 20 and I am not joking.
The Wizards are crap, the Warriors just managed to play even worse than crap!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Penn State -3.5 Win
Notre Dame +3.5 Win
Tenessee Martin -5 Loss

College Football:

For Friday picked before the line moves too much:
Ohio PK

Bouncing back from a bad performance.

2008-11-24T04:40:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 1W - 1L

Traktor Loss

Brynas -0.5 (risky with how little difference there is between teams in Sweden Elitserien) Win

Basketball: 7W - 7L good on NBA, less than zero on NCAA.

Houston-3 Win
San Antonio-3 Win
New Orleans-5.5 Win
Philly-4 Philafuckingdelphia always gets me fucked Loss

NCAA:
COnnecticut -5 Win
Kansas -5 Win
Alabama -4 Loss
Toledo +2 Loss
Miami of Florida -6 Win
James Madison -2 Loss
Vanderbilt -8.5 Loss by 0.5 pts!!!!!!!
Ohio State -12 Loss
New Mexico -15 Loss
Boise State -6.5 Win

and for fun only a monster parlay (low stakes):
Connecticut + Miami of FLorida + Houston -1.5 1st half + Philly -1,5 1st half + San Antonio -1.5 1st half + Vanderbilt + New Mexico + Boise State

On the field today

2008-11-23T04:19:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 1W - 3L

Barcelone + Freiburg Loss

Randers FC PK Win

Groningen PK Loss

Leans:
Napoli not played
Lecce +0.5 Loss
Lazio not played

Hockey: 2W - 1L - 1P

Frankfurt -1 Push
Tolzer Lowen Win

Boras -1 Win

Basketball: 3W - 4L - 1P

Alba Berlin-13 horrible loss, Alba was 19 points in front at the beginning of the last quarter, so they did not play with much interest in the fourth and only won by 11.
Ulm-4 Push

Valencia -5.5 Loss FUCKING bookies, Valencia won.... by 5, once again with an horrible fourth quarter where they squander a big lead.

COnnecticut -5 Win
Memphis -5 Loss Maybe Tyreke Evans should be called Tybrick Evans?

NBA:
Leans
Lakers -16 not played
Golden State +6.5 and over 208 Did not play. Loss
Minnesota +10.5 and under 188.5 Win Win
The under nearly got beaten with a no defense fourth quarter.

NFL: 2W - 1L - 1P

Washington-3 Push
New York Giants-3 Win
Philly+1 Loss
New England Win

Working the picks

2008-11-22T06:24:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 5W - 5L

Chelsea -1 Loss
Reading Loss
Wolwerhampton Win

Villareal Loss

PSV Eindhoven Win

Dundee Loss

Wolfsburg Win
Hoffenheim PK Win
Leverkusen Loss

Cercke Brugge Win

Hockey: 1W - 1L

Kloten Win
Bern Loss

Handball:
Dunkerque -7 Push the bookies are too damn good.

Basketball: 3W - 4L -1P
Novy Jicin -6 Loss

Telekom Bonn -8 (extra risky) Win

Bilbao-3 Loss

Orleans -10 Push

Panellinios -4 Win

Nitra -12 Loss
Poprad -6.5 Loss
Komarno -4 Win

College Football: 4W - 2L
Clemson -2.5 Win
Boise State -6.5 Win
Illinois -2.5 Loss
Missisipi +4.5 Win
North Carolina -11 Loss
Oklahoma -6 Win

I Cant Wait For the Weekend to Begin

2008-11-21T10:29:00.001-08:00

Soccer: 0W - 1L

Exelsior -0.5, -1 Loss

Basketball: 7W - 3L - 2P
Orlando -2 Push
Portland -4 Win
Boston -6 Win

Leans:
Utah +4.5 Loss
Lakers -8 Win
New Orleans -9.5 Win

NCAA:
One play for sure:
Parlay: Tennessee+ UNC + Notre Dame + Connecticut + Oregon Win
leans only. I am going to wait till the last minute to play them or not
North Carolina -19 Loss
Oregon -6 Win
Missouri -10 Win
Tenessee-10 Push
Connecticut -16.5 Loss

College Football:
Leans
Boise State -6
Oklahoma -6
Illinois -2.5

Stomping Grounds

2008-11-20T08:16:00.000-08:00

Lets have a good night.
Hopefully the NCAA Basketball will become a stomping ground, because right now I am having a tough time with it.

Today:

Hockey 0W - 1L
Parlay: Berlin + Sternjen + Valerenga Sternhen Sternjen Sternjen... Loss

Basketball: 4W - 3L - 1P
Kalev +3 Win

NBA:
Lakers -4 Win
Lakers over 204.5 Loss

NCAA:
Memphis -22 Loss
Vanderbilt -4.5 Loss

Leans: (probably two plays maximum in the group)
Xavier -4 Push
Iowa -8.5 Win
UNLV -16.5
Arkansas -12
Rice -4 Win

Friendlies day

2008-11-19T10:26:00.000-08:00

Soccer: 3W 1L 1P

Belgium -1 Loss
Czech Republic -3 Push
Spain -1 Win
Bosnia PK Win

Leans:
Denmark-1... really really not sure to play it
Bosnia over Win

Handball: 0W -1L

Nordsjaelland -4.5 Loss (horrible one they won by 24-20)

Basketball: 8W - 7L

Pamesa Valencia +1.5 Win
Philly -3.5 Loss It started well...until an horrible third quarter by Philly.
Denver +1 Win
Clippers -1 (if they dont win they dont even deserve to be in the league) Win

Miami Toronto : waiting to know if Calderon plays.
Atlanta Washington: waiting to know if Horford plays

Leans:
Washington +7.5 Win
Cleveland +3 and under 191 Loss Win Cleveland was fucking up Detroit in the 1st half then... they disappeared :(
Utah -10 Win
Houston-3 and under 190 (waiting to know if McGrady, Battier, Yao and Artest play, too.
Did not play because no Yao for Houston.
New Orleans -12 will not play it for sure now. The line goes the wrong way. Too many points.
Philly over 189.5 Win
Denver over 181 Loss Could have been won if Denver had played more seriously in the last quarter, but they had such a margin they did not need to.
Portland over 195 Loss Chicago could no throw a rock into the sea.
NCAA:
Virginia -7.5 and under 145 Loss Loss

Leans:
UNC Wilmington over 167 Win
Villanova -16 Loss Once again horrible they won by 15...

NCAA football: 1W - 0L

Ball State -6.5 Win

Once again, ready to go.

2008-11-18T12:52:00.001-08:00

Basketball: 7W - 2L
Parlay: Cleveland + Boston Win
Cleveland -5.5 Win
Orlando over 192 Win
Boston -4.5 1st half Win
Boston -8 Win
Atlanta under 207.5 Loss

Leans:
Atlanta + 3 Loss Al Horford gets hurt in the first quarter... enough said :(
Miami +2.5 Win
Milwaukee +10 not played
Portland -1

Colorado State -6.5 Win

wanted to make a play against Davidson, but too bad Pinnacle did not offer the pick at the time I chose. :(

Dont wanna stress on Sunday

2008-11-16T09:16:00.000-08:00

Basketball:1W - 1L

Detroit -2 not over, but is not good. Count is as a loss. The pistons played a "non-game". They should be ashamed to play so bad.

Rutgers +4.5 Win

Lean:
Orlando -6.5
Denver -8.5

FAAAAAST

2008-11-15T05:14:00.001-08:00

a Win Win situation possible

Hockey

Rogle on Pinnacle 2.35

HV71 on Paddy 1.9

I hammered it :)

Freaky Friday

2008-11-14T07:51:00.003-08:00

Horrible night between poker and the picks.
I could not stop getting badbeats in poker and it looks the same here!!!!

Hockey: 0W - 3L

Lausanne-1 Loss

Kolner Haie -1 (middle of the board team facing the worst team) Loss
Tolzer Lowen Loss

Soccer: oW - 2L

Union Berlin Loss

Connahs Quay Loss

Basketball: 5W - 7L

Atlanta -2.5 (what are they thinking about. Maybe the bookies know something the public does not because I cannot explain this line) Loss
Houston-5.5 (Tim Duncan alone against a real team this time) Loss
Phoenix-6.5 HORRIBLE LAST MINUTE NEWS: Nash and Barnes will be suspended, and Loss Barbosa s mother died and he will not play. Puke.

Orlando +1.5 Win
Oklahoma +8.5 The Knicks are not good. Oklahoma isn t, too. But 8.5 pts is a lot.
Thanks to dumb P.J Carlesimo it is a loss. Loss

Parlay: Phoenix + Houston + Rhode Island to win Loss

other leans:
Philly-1 Win
Lakers -9.5 (it is a lot, but so far so good). I hope there will be massive money on Detroit +9.5 so that the line changes not played
Miami-6 Win
Boston under 196 Win

NCAA
Rhode Island-12 Loss
Georgia State-2 Loss
Central Michigan-3 Loss (this one hurts.. like the georgia state one)
Penn State-10 Win

Grumpy start again?

2008-11-13T07:57:00.000-08:00

Hockey: 1W - 0L

Lillehammer -0.5 Win

Basketball: 0W - 1L

UCLA -15 Loss. Maybe UCLA wont be as good as usual this year

Nothing else for today, I dont like the card at all.

A good start.... for once?

2008-11-12T05:24:00.001-08:00

Hockey: 1W - 1L
Sundvall Win
Mora -0.5 Loss

Handball: 0W - 2L
Montpellier -3.5 (risky) Loss
It is a big spread against a team still undefeated at home. The bookies are damn good, Montpellier won...33-30. Tough

Valladolid -5.5 (risky) Loss. They won but only by 4 goals

Basketball: 7W - 4L
Kolin+4.5 Loss

Lottomatica Roma+11 Win

Lakers +1.5 Win
Orlando-6.5 Win
Indiana-2 found and played -1.5 Win
Toronto-5 Loss nicht gut
Atlanta+10.5 Win
Utah-4.5 Loss too bad it was a winnable game

Michigan-5.5 Win
UCLA -19.5 1st half Loss Bookies are incredible. UCLA won the 1st half by...19 pts

Leans:
Memphis-5 Not played
Houston +3.5 Win

NCAA Football: 0W - 1L
Northern Illinois-3 looks horribly bad. Loss they did not wake up early enough

Soccer: 1W - 0L
Lean: Sturm Graz Win

La Liga and others

2008-11-11T06:25:00.000-08:00

Handball: 0W - 1L

Ademar Leon -2.5 Loss
I would not take it if the spread gets even bigger. The line might just be set right by the bookies.

Hockey: 0W - 1L
Sternjen -0.5 Loss
Once again it begins horribly. The Sternjen fuckers always had the lead... but got tied. They won.. but in O.T

Soccer: 0W - 1L

St Polten PK/-0.5 Loss Bad surprise.
Leader against last place team.
A lean on the over but really not sure about it right now.

Basketball: 5W - 1L
Early lean: Atlanta +3.5 found and played + 4 Win
I know they dont have Josh Smith but they are still undefeated. The Bulls are playing a little better but hey, they are neither the Lakers nor the Celtics, so I do not really see why they should be favored against an unbeaten team, even if they play at home.

Lakers -6 (better take it fast, the line moves at the speed of light) Win
Just barely. Bad offensive games by the Lakers but they are so good overall that is was enough
Lakers 2009 Champions, Count on it.

New York +3.5 (no Tony Parker, no Ginobili. Duncan has to be incredible for the Spurs to win)
Found and played +4.5 Loss

Denver -3.5 found and played -2.5 Win

Detroit -7.5 (Kevin Martin is said to be out for the game for Sacramento). Win

Lean: Utah + 4 Win

Grinding

2008-11-10T07:05:00.000-08:00

Monday, the resting day.

Handball: 0W - 1L

Savehof -3.5 Loss (they won... by 2)
Best team in the league away from home right now. Only wins till now and their worst one was by 3 goals.

Soccer: 0W - 1L

St Gallen -1.5 brrrr. doest not look good. Still 0-0 at the 55th minute.
Loss (unless a miracle happen, but I do not believe in them)
a little risky but hell they have been on a tear lately and are a stronger side anyway. Low stakes.

Basketball: 3W - 2L

Waiting for the NBA lines to offer better spreads. It looks like the Miami one might be interesting.

Fenerbahce -9.5 Loss 13 pts lead at the beginning of the fourth quarter but then they stopped scoring.

They are waaaaay stronger, but they are playing away from home which is a big disadvantage in Turkey. We will see. Not a lock by any means.

Memphis + 12 Win
Portland + 7 Win
Boston under 183 Win Nearly got done by a monster scoring last quarter

Duke -37 Loss They won by 31.
(I know it is an awful lot, but they can do it with their 7 all americans, especially against a bottom-dweller like Presbyterian)

Beware if I am as accurate on these plays as I was on my previous plays today you will are about to get ripped :)

Return of the Mack

2008-11-09T05:11:00.000-08:00

I did not really bet yesterday, which turned out to be a really bad idea for basketball as I had all the games capped well and... I would have swept the board.
:(

Anyway, back to new picks:

conservative day.

Soccer: 7W - 1L

Ried PK Win

Hoffenheim PK Loss

Valencia PK Win

Napoli Win

Malmo Win (they won on an astounding 6 to 0 score)

Young Boys -o,5/PK Win

Leans:
Genoa-1 Win
FC Zurich Win

Handball: 1P
Ystad IF -4 Push

Basketball: 3W - 3L - 1P
Brose -2.5 Win
Decin -3.5 Win

Toronto-3.5 Win
Atlanta -4 Push here, but win for me as I found it at 3.5
Dallas-4 Loss
Utah-4 Loss
Golden State +3.5 Loss

Leans: did not play any of them
Atlanta over 182
Denver-8
Houston+8

NFL: 2W - 0L
Carolina-9.5 Win
Jacksonville-6.5 Win

RAPED

2008-11-08T03:59:00.000-08:00

Aouch. Yesterday s NBA was deadly.
Very probably no picks today. I am too angered to want to pick any team today.

New Orleans losing against a team that sucks like Charlotte.... and only managing to score 7 points in the second quarter. Even I could do that without a team!

Phoenix getting blown out by the BUlls...

Atlanta shooting 80 % on three pointers for 3 quarters...

Detroit winning by ten in the middle of the second quarter and then getting beaten by the horrible Nets.

Goddamn it.

Late Capping

2008-11-07T08:42:00.000-08:00

A look at what is to come tonight:

Basketball. 0W - 6L
Parlay: Stal (Poland basketball) + Novy Jicin (Czech Basketball) + Limerick (soccer) Loss
Wow. I did not see that one coming. Stal losing against such a crappy team... at home. Tough.

Parlay: Cleveland + New Orleans + Detroit (big bet for me) Loss
I really think Detroit and N.O cannot lose. A little less confident in Cleveland but I think they will do the job.
Now everybody prays with me please.

Atlanta under 185.5 Loss

Leans:
Minnesota+4 Not Played
New Orleans -7.5 Loss
Detroit -7.5 Loss
Phoenix -4 Loss

Soccer: 6W - 6L

Llanelli Win
Bangor City Win

Ujpest Loss

Top Oss Loss
Waalwijk Loss
NAC Breda Win
Maastricht -1 Loss

Brasiliense Pk Loss

Leans: not sure to play them yet

Angers Win

Lanus Win The team with the best name ever came from behind to win! Nice.
Newell s Old Boys Loss

Venlo-1 Win

College football: 1W - 1L
Oregon State -8 Win
Minnesota -8 Loss

Fade me :)

2008-11-06T06:24:00.000-08:00

With the way things have been going lately I may be fade material, for the most part soccer has been a bitch to me.

Anyway I will not let that take me off my game.

Picks of the day:

Soccer: 1W - 0L - 1P
Benfica USe live betting! Fast! Lets hedge hedged
Manchester City over Win

Score predictions:
AC Milan 2-0 Braga
Ajax 3-1 Zilina
Benfica 2-0 Galatasaray
Feyenoord 0-1 CSKA Moscow
Lech Poznan 1-1 Nancy
Manchester City 3-1 Twente
Metallist Kharkiv 2-1 Hertha
Santander 1-2 Schalke
Slavia Praha 1-1 Aston Villa
Spartak Moscow 1-2 Udinese
Saint Etienne 2-0 Rosenborg
Standard Liege 1-2 Sevilla
Valencia 2-0 Copenhagen
Wolfsburg 3-1 Hereenven

Basketball: 5W - 4L
Nitra -7.5 Win
Priviedza -9.5 Win
Pezinok-4.5 Loss

Fenerbahce +5.5 (more of a fade in Joventut without Ricky and their big man than confidence in Fenerbahce) Win
Siena +2.5 (Siena is something like 5oW -4L at home in the last 4 years in the Euroleague) Win
Lubjana+2.5 Loss

Orlando-5 Win
Houston-5 Loss
Strong lean: I will probably play it, not 100% sure yet. Houston under 185 Loss
A curse... it was a win. Until the game went to overtime

Hockey: 3W - 0L
San Jose (fast fast before the line drops) + team total over 3 Win Win
Norway + Ajax (soccer) Win

Man up and get up!

2008-11-05T04:19:00.000-08:00

Yesterday was horrible.
At least I do not expect today to suck as bad. But we will see if I can get back on my feet.

Handball: 5W - 1L
(the lines are just at the right point, one point more and I would not play them)

Chambery - 7.5 Win
Montpellier -6.5 Win

Ciudad Real -3.5 and over 58 Win Win

Fyllingen-15... found -14.5 I am taking it. Loss

Lindesberg -5 Win

Basketball: 7W - 6L

Pardubice -5.5 Loss
Levice -8.5 Win
Bystrica -3.5 Loss
Monster parlay: Pardubice+ Levice + Bystrica + Prievidza + Pezinok + Nitra Loss

Euroleague:
Partizan under 151 Loss
Tau team total over 82.5 Win
I missed on the Panathinaikos line... they were at -9 which represented great value, but the line changed to -13.5 in the blink of an eye :(

NBA:
Grizzlies +4 Loss
Phoenix -3 Win
Philly -2.5 Loss

other leans (I dont know if some of them will be plays yet):

San Antonio under 181.5 Loss Looks like the Spurs are fade material this year.
Boston -8 Win
Lakers -13.5 Win
Milwaukee+1.5 not played
Cleveland -8 Win
CHarlotte +5.5 Win
Portland + 7 not played
Denver +3.5 (99% not a play as I dont know if billups will play or not) not played

Soccer: 1W - 4L

Arsenal-1 Loss
Bayern Munchen Loss
Lyon-1 Win
Kiev Loss
Real Madrid-1 Loss... probably a fix. You know what I mean if you watched the game.

Scores prediction:
Celtic 0-1 Manchester U.
Aalborg 0-2 Villareal
Arsenal 3-1 Fenerbahce
Fiorentina 1-2 Bayern
Kiev 1-0 Porto
Bate Borisov 0-1 Zenit St Petersburg
Lyon 3-1 Steau Bucarest
Real 2-0 Juventus

College Football: 1W - 1L
Northern Illinois +10 Loss
Akron -5.5 Win

October and Blog all-time stats

2008-11-04T16:14:00.000-08:00

After that horrid evening.
I thought I would write a little stat sheet for last month and to have the record since the beginning of the blog (bets made during november do not count, they will be added to the november stat sheet at the beginning of next month).
So here we are: Pushes do not count in the percentages as they do not add or subtract anything

October record
Soccer: W55% 165Wins 135Losses 10Pushes
Hockey: W61% 111Wins 72Losses 7 Pushes
Basketball:W69% 45W 20L 1P
NFL: W70% 14W 6L 0P
NCAA Football:W51% 26W 25L oP
Boxing:W100% 1W 0L 0P
Handball: W100% 1W 0L 1P
Tennis: W36% 4W 7L 0P

Total: W59% 376W 265L 19P

All time record
Soccer: W58% 309W 224L 12P
Ice Hockey:W62% 149W 90L 7P
Basketball: W65% 50W 27L 1P
NFL: W64% 25W 14L 1P
NCAA Football:W53% 53W 46L 3P
Boxing: W50% 2W 2L 0P
Handball:W100% 1W 0L 1P
Tennis: W38% 5W 8L 0P
WNBA: W59% 1oW 7L 0P

W59% 604W 418L 25P

VOMIT DAY!

2008-11-04T03:24:00.000-08:00

Soccer: oW - 7L - 1P
OFFICIAL WORST SOCCER DAY Since the beginning of this blog
Aberystwyth Loss

Champions League:
Cluj under 2.5 Loss
Inter -1 Loss
Shaktar Donetsk+1 Push
Barca -2.5 Loss
Liverpool and over Loss Loss
Chelsea Loss

Scores prediction:
Cluj 1 -1 Bordeaux
Roma 0-1 Chelsea
Famagusta 0-2 Inter
Barcelona 4-1 Basel
Liverpool 2-1 Athletico Madrid
Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Donetsk
Marseille 1-1 Eindhoven
Werder Breme 2-1 Panathinaikos

Basketball: 5W - 4L
Phoenix-3.5 Win at least. my most important pick of the day comes through.
Houston-2 Loss Not good Yao, not good: including a marvelous 2 shot attempts blocked in a row and a travel.
San Antonio-3.5 Loss Never again let Matt Bonner guard Dirk. He got his ass handed to him.
Ventpils +6 Win
Kiev +4 found even better +5.5 Loss (how in hell a team with Kiev s roster can get blown out by Panellinios????)
Hyeres Toulon-7 Win
FMP-5 found better -3.5 Win
Red Star-6.5 Loss

Lean: Houston over 176.5 Win

Hockey: Mucho risko. 3W - 4L

Washington over 5.5 Loss
Carolina over 5.5 Win
Phoenix under 5.5 only a lean for the time. not played
Calgary-0.5 Loss
Anaheim + team total over 3 Win Loss
Calgary team total over 3 Loss
San Jose Win

Tennis: 0W - 1L
Petschner+ Hrbaty + Korolev Loss (Korofuck!!!!!!!)

Handball: 1W - 0L
Frisch auf Gopingen -6.5 Win

College Football: 1Win - 0L
Buffalo -7 Win

ushhh... ushhhhhh.... quiet. The sports world is sleeping.

2008-11-03T04:13:00.000-08:00

Monday is the quietest day of the week for gamblers and sports addicts.
So I will keep it short until the american games.

Soccer: 1W - 2L
Aston Villa PK + over Loss Loss
Goteborg (only if you find good odds.. for the time I haven t) Win thanks Pinnacle.

Hockey: 1W - 1L - 1P
Rogle -0.5 Loss
Chicago Win
Columbus. Looks bad if I can find a possibity via live betting I will hedge.
(hedgeable at bet365, be smart and careful.) already hedged.

Basketball: 6W- 6L

Orlando first quarter -2 Win
Orlando 1st half -3.5 Loss Absolutely disgusting. a loss for 0.5 point with Orlando missing everything in the last minute of the half and getting scored on. But by luck I did not lose everywhere, I had it at -2 on bet365, but lost it at bwin.
Orlando -7 Loss Way to choke mofos... they led by 16 before faltering and fucking nearly lost the game. Suckers!!!!
Golden State -2 Loss
Cleveland +3.5 Win
Pistons -3 + over 180 Win Win
Utah -6.5 + over 187 Win Loss
Orlando under 196 Win

risky teaser of the day. Maybe 30 % chance to land but interesting anyway, pays 7 to 1:
Philly-7.5 + Detroit+1 + Orlando-3 + Golden State+2.5 + Cleveland+8 + Utah-2 Loss

Still risky but way less: pays 3 to 1
Philly-5 + Detroit over 171.5 + + Orlando + Golden State+5 + Cleveland+11 + Utah over 178 Loss

Another day to try and break the bank

2008-11-02T03:40:00.000-08:00

Basketball: 5W - 1L

Bonn - 5,5 Win

Montespachi Siena under 158.5 Win

NBA:
Minnesota +1 first half Win
Minnesota +2 Loss Horrible one point loss, that is what you get when you fuck up in the fourth quarter. It should have been a win.
Minnesota under 192 Win
Milwaukee +5.5 Win

Soccer: 7W - 10L -1P.... not good, at least I break even because of the big odds of Xanthi and StPauli
Rennes Win

Slavia Praha Win

Xanthi PK. If you want to try and make a coup play it to win... nice odds. Win

Newell s Old Boys Win

Stabaek PK Loss

Udinese glups... looked good for a while and now looks like shit Loss
Sampdoria Win
Fiorentina Loss

Besiktas Loss

Zurich +0/0.5Push (leading at the 89th, Zurich gets tied at the 90th... vomit)
St Gallen -1 Win

Betis Sevilla Loss
Real Madrid Loss Nice job by Almeria, they managed to come back from a goal down against the european powerhouse.

Manchester City +0/0.5 and over Loss Loss

Dortmund -1 Loss
St Pauli Win
Oberhausen over Loss

Hockey: 3W - 3L - 1P
Straubing Loss in o.t
Sinupret Win
Lausitzer +1 Push

Parlay: Mora + Stavanger + Herning Win

Litvinov Win
Vasteras Loss

Detroit over 5.5 Loss

NFL: 6W - 2L
Giants -9 and over 42 Win Win
Denver -3.5 and under 50.5 Loss Win
Philly -6.5 Win
New England +6 and over 44 Win Loss
Green Bay + 4.5 Win

Big time Sports Saturday

2008-11-01T06:03:00.000-07:00

For now
Soccer: 8W - 7L

Genk Win
Lokeren Loss

Grasshopper -1 Win

Hoffenheim -1 Win

Odense Loss

Liverpool Loss

Peterborough + over Win Loss
Oldham Loss
Stockport Win
Kidderminster Win
Darlington Win

Auxerre Loss

Inter to win to nil Loss

Lanus WIIIIIN Real happy with that one, it was a big bet.

Hockey: 7W - 1L
Sternjen Win

Montreal -0.5 + over 5.5 + team total over 2.5 Win Win Win Absolutely crazy game.
New Jersey -0.5 Win
Calgary over 5.5 + team total over 2.5 Loss Win
Nashville Team total over 2.5 Win

Basketball: 4W - 2L
Dallas -1 first quarter Win
Houston under 191 Win
Los Angeles -8 Loss (horrible 1 pt loss)
Golden State +5.5 Win
Boston -5.5 Loss
Toronto +1.5 Win

Too bad I was a little late and could not bet on the Orlando game and the Atlanta game.

Party time, let s make it pop!

2008-10-31T12:13:00.000-07:00

College Football: 3W-3L

Only conservative picks edition:
Minnesota -7 Loss
TCU -14 Win
Texas A and M -3 Win
Florida -6.5 Win
Missisipi State -2.5 Loss
navy -7 Loss (horrible 1pts loss)

Soccer: 6W - 6L

Excelsior Loss
Zwolle over Win

Venlo-1 Win
Den Bosch over Win
Cambuur-1 Push

Leverkusen over Loss

Montpellier -1 Loss
Bastia Win
Tours Win

Drogheda Loss
Bohemians Win

Vitoria Setubal Loss (bad surprise of the day)

Slask Wroclaw Loss

Hockey: (I was to late to choose in a lot of games) 1W - 3L
Bern Loss
Davos Win
Tolzer Lowen Loss
Anaheim (do not take it if odds are low, I found it at 1.9 at one place) Loss

Basketball: 7W - 1L
NBA picks to save me and go into the positive:

Orlando 1st half -4 Win
Toronto -7 Loss
Denver -2.5 Win
Orlando under 193.5 Win
New York under 217.5 Win
Miami -6 Win
Philly -7.5 Win

Parlay: Orlando -4 1st half + denver -2.5 + Miami -6 Win

Shuffle the cards and deal.

2008-10-30T06:20:00.000-07:00

Fewer picks than usual today.

Soccer: 1W - 1L
Basel -1 Win
Crawley Loss

Hockey: 8W - 1L
Atlant + DEG Metro Win
Sternjen and the over 5.5 Win Win

So now lets be good with the NHL
Carolina over 5.5 Loss
Ottawa Win
Rangers + team total over 2.5 Win Win
Nashville team total over 2.5 Win

lean: Sharks over 5.5 Win

Basketball: 5W - 2L
Montepaschi Siena -8.5 Win
Barcelona Win
Cibona +5.5 Win

Houston + 5 Win
Houston under 190.5 Loss They destroyed that total. Big surprise for me.
Phoenix under 198.5 Loss
Cleveland -4 first half Win

Maybe, for a few dollars less

2008-10-29T04:21:00.000-07:00

Yesterday was atrocious.
Do I even know how to pick teams that are going to win more often that ones that are going to lose?
I may reduce the numbers of my picks. I need to get my confidence back.

So I am still standing. If you want to win, do not tail me right now... wait until I get my Mojo back.

Soccer: 9W - 5L -1L
Napoli-1 Win
AC Milan-1 Push

Manchester city + over Loss Loss
Aston Villa Win

Hoffenheim PK + over Win Win
Kaiserlautern + over Win Loss
Duisburg + over Loss Win
Munchen 1860 Win
Kickers Emden PK Win

Portuguesa Win

Heerenven -1 Loss
Heerenven was on fire until then, but it looks like Vitesse Arnhem that was really struggling got their big break out.

Hockey: 2W - 2L- 1P
Togliatti Loss
Leksand -1 Win
Titaanit over 5.5 Win
New Jersey Push
Detroit Loss

Basketball: 5W - 4L
Bystrica -5.5 Loss
Nitra -4 Loss
Privieza -9 Loss
Efes Pilsen -2.5 Win
Real Madrid under 153.5 Loss
New Orleans -5 Win
Houston + Detroit + New Orleans Win
New York over 207 Win
Milwaukee +4 Win

"For a Few Dollars More"

2008-10-28T08:36:00.000-07:00

Time to go out gun blazing at the sportsbooks. My weapons ? A nice few outsiders.

So here are my choices today from Russia to Spain then going over the Atlantic and through America till Colorado.

Results: Horrible until yet. If soccer games only went for 80 minutes I would have had a great day, but with all these chokers I got destroyed in the last minutes of a lot of the matches.

Hockey: 4W - 6L
Tver + Atlant + SKA StPetersburg Loss

Boston over 5.5 Loss
Colorado over 5.5 Loss
Montreal Win
Toronto under 6 Win
Montreal team total over 2.5 Loss

Salzburg -2.5 Loss

Rodovre -1.5 Loss

Saipa Win

Zvolen Win

Soccer: 6W - 12L - 1P AAAAOUCH
Barcelona -2 Loss

Bremen over 3 Loss
Wolfsburg -1 Win
Union Berlin over 2.5 Win

Aalkmar Win
Willem PK Push

Albinoleffe draw Loss
Empoli draw Loss
Rimini draw Loss

Crystal Palace Loss
Peterborough + over Loss Loss
Ipswich Loss once again they cannot hold a result, led until the 82nd minute
Milton Keynes Win
Leicester Loss a fucking shame these donkeys at a two goals cushion at the 80th minute
Hartlepool Win

Tigre Win
Godoy Loss
Newells Old Boys Loss

Tennis: 1L
Robredo Loss

Basketball: 3W - 1L
Tubingen + 9. Win
I do think they are going to lose, but 9 pts is a lot against Brose that is not quite back to their their old form yet.

Portland +8.5 Loss
Chicago -5 Win
Cleveland + 7 Win

Glory Road

2008-10-27T12:16:00.001-07:00

Few Picks today as it is a very dull sports board.

Hockey: 1P
Linkopings push

NFL: 1W - 1L
Tenessee-3.5 + under 40.5 Win Loss

Improving my choices

2008-10-26T05:02:00.000-07:00

Yesterday did not go really well.
So I am back today trying to improve.

Soccer: 13W - 8L - 2P
Ok day, could have been nice if AEK had not totally fucked up.

Tottenham Win
Arsenal over Loss
Manchester City-1 + over Win Win

Hoffenheim over Win

Udinese Win
Inter Milan-1 should be pushed because of hedging
AC Milan Win

Kayserisport Win

Ujpest + Slaven Win
NK Zagreb Loss

AEK Athenes Loss AEK is a fucking joke, they were leading 3-0 at halftime, and they manage to get tied. No nerves on this team.

Real + Sevilla Hedged
Villareal Loss
Valencia Loss

Basel Win
Young boys Loss

Stabaek Win
Viking Win

Zenith StPetersburg Loss

Hereeven pk Win I am really happy I played it Pk, because those dumb fucks in Hereeven got tied in added time after leading the whole game 2-0, then 2-1 20 minutes before the hand... and 2-2 right at the end.
NAC Breda Loss

Lean: Banfield Draw Win

Hockey: 3W-4L - 1P
Horrible day getting often the short end of the stick.

Lausitzer Win

Kladno Win

Zaglebie Loss

MHC Martin Push
Kosice -1.5 Loss
Zilina -2 Loss

Astana Win

Kosice + Chaux de FOnds + Ajoie + Zilina Loss

NFL: 2W - 1L
San Francisco -5 Loss
Houston -9 Win
Cleveland -3 Win

Dont let your guard down

2008-10-25T04:19:00.000-07:00

Soccer: 11W - 10L
Schalke -1 Loss

Toulouse Loss

Barca over + Betis PK Win
Barca -1 Win

Manchester United Loss
Sheffield United Win
Reading Loss
Hull PK Win

Cercle Brugges + Westerlo Loss

Kilmarnock Loss

Ankarasport Win

Larisa Loss

Sturm Graz + Rapid Wien Win

Kosice Loss
Ruzemborok Win
Nitra Loss

St Gall + Yverdon Loss

Haverfordwest Win
Neath Win
Carmarthen Win

Dinamo Kiev-1 Win

Hockey: 4W-4L
TuTo Loss
Salavat Loss
Stavanger Win
Lorenskog Win

Washington Win
Detroit
Nashville over 5.5 Win
Ottawa Loss
Montreal Loss

Basketball: 2W-1L
B.Treviso -4.5 Loss (big time loss)
Lottomatica Roma -5.5 Win
UNicaja - 6.5 Win

Tennis: 1W - 1L
Wozniacki Win
Simon (value bet) Loss Was not far from winning

Still ready for war against the bookies

2008-10-24T00:39:00.001-07:00

Hockey: 2W - 2L
Magnitogorsk-1 Loss
Traktor-1.5 Loss
Hannover + Klagenfurt Win
Berlin+0.5 Loss
Davos -1.5 Win

Soccer: 5W - 2L
Leverkusen + over Win Loss

Tranmere Win

Montpellier Loss
Vannes Win
Istres Win

Connahs Quay Win

Tennis: 0W - 2L (the value bets dont smile right now)
Penneta Loss
Ferrero Loss

Handball: (first try) 1W - 0L - 1P
Kiel -9 Win
Valladolid -4 Push

Basketball 3W-1L
NBA Pre Season:
New York -3 Loss
Chicago -4 Win
Denver -3 Win
Lakers -6 Win

Taking a hit without flinching

2008-10-23T05:48:00.000-07:00

The record is not awesome these last days, but we all know there will be some periods when things do not go the way we want.
For example yesterday, the Palmeiras game was so weird, some fixing might have happened.
Anyway, still no worries, nothing to terrible happened.

So into sports now:

Tennis: 1W-1L
Granollers Loss
Penetta Win

Hockey: 3W-6L
IFK Helsinki Loss
Kalpa Win
Sternjen -2.5 + over 6 Win Loss
Sapborg over 6 Win
Nashville Loss
Edmonton over 5.5 Loss
Phoenix over 5.5 Loss
Buffalo under 5.5 Loss

Most of the games began real well, but ended up horribly :(

Basketball: 7W - 1L
Madrid -9 Win
Barca -6 Win
Maccabi +3 Win
Olympiakos -5.5 Win

Portland +3.5 Loss
Houston -3 Win
Atlanta +5 Win
N.O -5.5 Win

Soccer UEFA Cup: 8W - 2L
Schalke Win
Sevilla Win
Udinese + over Win Loss
Hamburg Win
Galatasaray over Loss
CSKA Moscow Win
Aston Villa + over Win Win
AC Milan Win

Score predictions:
Nancy 1-0 Feyenoord
Aston Villa 2-1 Ajax
Braga 2-1 Portsmouth
CSKA 1-0 Deportivo
Zagreb 1-0 NEC
Copenhague 1-1 Saint Etienne
Twente 1-1 Santander
Galatasaray 2-1 Olympiakos
Hertha Berlin 1-2 Benfica
Zilina 0-1 Hamburg
Belgrade 1-1 Sampdoria
Rosenborg 1-1 Brugges
Hereeven 0-2 AC Milan
Schalke 1-0 PSG
Sevilla 2-0 Stuttgart
Udinese 3-1 Tottenham

Gotta Rebound Like Rodman

2008-10-22T08:32:00.000-07:00

After on of my worst day ever, I have to rebound. So I will be extra careful with my analysis.
And I hate Ohio for being so bad, same applies to the Clippers... how the fuck can they lose against the Suns when they were tired after a double overtime game, had to travel, and where without Nash or Shaq? Tough to do is it not?
Try shooting 33 % and less than 10 % from 3pts range and you got it.
Fucking screwjobs!

Today the Champions League card looks very tricky.
I would give a little advantage to Liverpool against Athletico because Pool has been so hot lately.
Donetsk is a good team that should win tonight.
Chelsea and Inter should win easily but no good odds to bet on those teams.

Soccer: 4W - 5L

Barca + Barca -1 Win Win
The line looks really in our favour. It may be a trap set up by Vegas, but I cannot see Basel winning or even drawing against a powerhouse like Barcelona, which moreover comes with their squat at full force.

Parlay: Inter over + Chelsea + Barca Loss
Pana over Win
Donetsk Loss
Marseille PK Loss
Chelsea over Loss

Palmeiras Loss
Internacional Win

Horrible stats but I am very happy because I had much higher stakes on Barca than on anything else.

Score predictions:
Athletico 2-2 Liverpool
Basel 0-3 Barcelona
Chelsea 3-0 Roma
Bordeau 1-1 Cluj
Inter 3-1 Famagusta
Panathinaikos 2-2 Breme
Donetsk 2-0 Sporting
PSV 1-2 Marseille

Hockey: 2W - 2L
Magnitogorsk -o.5 Win
Budejovice -o.5 Win
Linkopings -1.5 Loss
Ottawa Loss

Tennis: 1W - 0L
Zverev (pure value bet) Win

Basketball: 6W - 3L

Euroleague:
Unicaja -14.5 + -12.5 Loss Loss
Panathinaikos -15.5 + -16.5 Win Win
Milano + 27 Win

NBA:
Chicago + 4 Win
Philly +2 Win
Portland -4 Win
Memphis +8 Loss

Advice from a tipster.

2008-10-21T04:29:00.001-07:00

While waiting for the last results to come, it is time to think about this new day of action.
What a beautiful thing always to having something to look forward to. Tonight is the return of the Champions League. No pick for now, but I will look into it soon. But right now I am off to push some weights. Look back for updates later today.

Soccer: 5W - 9L AOUCH

Lean: Barcelona -1
Real Madrid PK Loss unlucky, total domination by Real since halftime. One post. One own goal. Tough luck.
Villareal -1 Win
Manchester United -1... scratched from my card, does not pay enough.
Zenit -1 Loss
Fenerbahce -Arsenal over 2.5 Win. It was won like 20 minutes into the game.
Parlay: Villareal + Manchester U. + Zenith + Real PK Loss

Wow it does not begin well with Zenit - BATE Borisov ending in a tie. I did not see the game but Zenit must have played like crap to only draw with BATE who really are not a power to reckon with.
Crazy scores in the A Fenerbahce Arsenal, Steaua Lyon and most of all Villareal Aalborg s games.

Champions League Scores predictions:

Bayern 2-1 Fiorentina
Fenerhbace 1-2 Arsenal (risky side, Fenerbahce does not lose often at home in the CL)
Manchester U 2-0 Celtic
Zenith 2-0 Bate Borisov
Steaua 1-1 Lyon
Porto 1-1 Kiev
Villareal 2-0 Aalborg... maybe 3-0 if Villareal really wants a good goal average.
Juventus 1-2 Madrid

UK:
SHeffield United Loss
Crystal Palace +0.5 Loss
Northampton + over Loss Win
Peterborough + over Loss Loss
Lincoln Win
Port Vale Loss

Brasiliense Win

Hockey: 4W - 2L - 1P

Villach Win

Berlin Win

Leans not sure to play them all, last minute decision:
Boston Push
Columbus over 5.5 Win
Calgary over 6 Loss (it was definitely a trap)
Anaheim Win
Boston over 5.5 Loss

NBA Pre-season: 2W - 3L
Clippers-2 Loss
Lakers -7.5 Loss
Chicago +6 Win
Philadelphia -4 Loss
Boston -2 Win

College Football: 0W - 1L
Ohio + 3.5 Loss
Once again horrible. Ohio lead 10 - o going into the last quarter... then proceeded to get outscored 14 to nil. So, an horrible loss by a hair.

Smashing the tennis board?

2008-10-20T04:22:00.000-07:00

Yesterday was great in NFL and hockey, but, boy, did I suck in soccer. Live betting allowed me to save my ass in some situations, but it still was very disappointing.

Today is the start to some nice tennis tournament. So let s try to score some picks in the first rounds: 1W - 3L

Ferrero Win
Schwank Loss
Melzer Loss

Big parlay for fun (low stakes): Gulbis + Safin + Hanescu + Ljubicic + Lopez + Roddick Loss
Ljubicic managed to choke bad and lose against a nobody.

Hockey: 2W - 1L
Montreal Win
Pitt over 5.5 Loss
Colorado -0.5 Win

NFL: 1W - 0L
New England Win

NBA Pre-Season: 4W - 1L
Atlanta +1 (deeper team) Loss
Charlotte + 7 (they suck but the starters should play a lot more minutes than Phoenix s and Nash is out) Win
Portland (deeeeep team) Win
New York over 204 and +1 (run and gun) Win Win

So many games. Still trying to play the percentages.

2008-10-19T05:29:00.000-07:00

Tennis: 0W - 1L

Penneta (value bet) Loss

Ice Hockey: 9W - 4L

Vienna + Jesenice + Klagenfurt Win

Krefeld Loss
Hamburg-1.5 Win
Bissingen Win
Tolzen-1.5 Win

Lillehammer Loss
Frisk + Storhamar + Jasztrebie Win

Zvolen Win
Banca Bystrica Win
Liptovsky Win

Carolina under 5.5 Win
Vancouver Loss
Anaheim Loss

Soccer: 12W - 13L - 4P

Tottenham hedged through live betting. Now I hope Tottenham does not wake up to win.
Hull Win

Getafe PK Loss
Valladolid Loss
Valencia + Barcelona Win
Mallorca PK Loss
Sevilla Win

Genoa Win
Udinese PK Win
Lazio Loss

Besiktas Win
Gaziant... Loss
Siva... Win

Rosenborg-1 Loss

Odense Win
Brondby Hedged. It did not look good and the live betting allowed me to edge no matter the result..

Halmstad Win

Anderlecht Hedged they will lose. Thanks live betting for enabling to erase mistakes.

Salzburg Win

Soligorsk Loss

OFI Crete Loss

Lech Poznan hedged through live betting

Feyenoord PK Loss

Zagreb + Hadjuk + Olympiakos + Slavia Praha Loss

Rosario Loss

Universidad de Chile Win
Huachipito Loss

Santos de Laguna Win

Juan Aurich Loss

NFL: 5W - 1L

Carolina -1 first half Win
Packers over 46.5 Win
Buffalo -1 Win
Bengals + 9.5 Loss
Detroit + 10.5 Win
Seattle under 38 Win

Playing the percentages

2008-10-18T06:04:00.000-07:00

Ice Hockey: 6W - 2L - 1P

Zurich Win
Lukko + Tappara Loss
Hokki Win
TuTo Push
Linkopings Loss
Rogle Win
Montreal Win
Ottawa over 5.5 Win
New Jersey over 5 Win

Soccer: 15W - 10L

Manchester United -1 Win
Arsenal over Win
Aston Villa Loss

Blackpool Loss
Reading Loss

Wolfsburg -1.5 Win
Leverkusen Win

Sochaux loss

Fiorentina Win

Hereenven Loss
PSV Loss
Ajax Win
Twente -1 Win
Nijmeguen Win

Mouscron + Standard Liege Win
Genk Win

Fehberbace+Bursa+ Legia Warsawa+ MTK Hungaria Loss

Crusaders Belfast Loss
Linfield Loss

Haverfordwest Win
Rhyl Win
Llanelli Win
Bangor Win
Port Talbot Win

Ried Loss

College Football: 0W - 1L

Wake Forest -1.5 loss

Basketball: 4W - 1L

KK Partizan -5.5 Loss
Roanne -8.5 Win
Utah-1 Win
San Antonio -5.5 Win
Dallas -6.5 Win

Always being ready to get paid

2008-10-17T00:31:00.000-07:00

Hockey: 6W - 6L

Sibir Novosibirsk +0.5 Loss
Atlant Myschichi -1 Loss
Pardubice Win
Berlin -1.5 Loss
Wolfsburg Win
Munchen -1 Win
Freiburg + Bissingen + Sanok Loss
Heilbronner +0.5 Win
Mora Win
Lugano Loss
Kloten Loss
Jesenice + Linz Win

Soccer: 7W - 6L

Bochum Loss
Kainserlautern Win
Nurnberg Win
Eindhoven Loss
Excelsior Loss
Den Bosch Win
Bohemians Loss
Argentinos juniors Win
Aberystwyth Win
Prestatyn Town Win
Connahs Quay Loss

Ireland: only leans till the last minute.
Galway draw Loss
Drogheda draw Win

College Football: 6W - 2L
all dogs until now!!!

Virginia + 5 Win
Eastern Michigan +4.5 Loss
Rutgers + 1 Win
Middle Tenessee State + 14.5 Win
Miami of Ohio + 10 Win
UNLV + 4 Win
Boise over 52 Loss
Ohio state -3 Win

Basketball: 0W - 1L

Golden State -2.5 Loss

A New Dawn.

2008-10-15T18:03:00.001-07:00

Yesterday was alright.
My scores prediction were pretty close for the main part. I did ok on the games, disappointed in Portugal and Turkey, Portugal has got to play better. Their recent results is an insult to all the talent assembled in this team.
I knew Turkey was not a full strength, but a draw in Estonia is definitively not a good result.

Ice Hockey: 5 W - 3 L
only leans for the time being.

Tappara Win

Lorenskog +0.5 Win

Sodertalje+0.5 Loss

HV71 -0.5 Loss

Detroit + Tampa Bay Loss

Tampa Bay over 5.5 Win

Washington over 5.5 Win

Florida over 5 Win

College Football: 2W - 1L

BYU + 3 and over 22.5 at the half Loss Win

NC State under 24 at the half Win

Basketball: 1W - 1L - 1P

Orlando -4 Win

Toronto -5 Loss

Boston -3 Push

World Cup Qualifying fiesta

2008-10-15T06:39:00.000-07:00

Lots of games to analyse. Not a lot of no-brainer but I have done my homework.
Expecting some profit for the day.
Anyway. Alea jacta est.

Hockey: 2W - 2L

KooKoo Loss

Mora Win

Almunda Win

Malmo + Vaxjo Loss

Soccer: 9W - 8L - 1Push

Paraguay -1 Push

Macedonia PK Loss

Parlay: Bosnia + Russia + Croatia -2,5 + Bulgaria Loss

Russia -1 + over Win Win

Bulgaria Loss

Montenegro +1.5 Win

Bosnia-1 + over Win WIn

Holland over and PK Loss Win

Luxembourg +1 Win

Czech Republic over Loss

Parlay: Portugal + Salvador + Turkey Loss

Spain Win

Mexico Loss Mexico is going to have trouble to qualify. Drawing against a hopeless Canada shows up that Mexico is in a very bad shape

Brazil -1.5 I changed it into another bet on Brazil -1 way now it is way bigger than the first one.
It would be awesome to hit it. Loss
Wow, big surprise. I thought Brazil was back on a good trail after beating Venezuela, looks like i was dead wrong. South America is wide open with Brazil and Argentina off to lackluster starts in their campaign.
At least to make up for sorrow of losing this one, at least it was not " my money", I used a free bet offered by www.boylesports.com

Corners: England -2 Win

Score Predictions:

Germany 2-0 Wales

Malte 0-2 Hungary

Norway 1-2 Holland

Bosnia 3-0 Armenia

Luxembourg 1-1 Moldavia

Czech Rep. 2-1 Slovenia, but really could be 1-1 I am on the fence on this one.

Austria 1-2 Serbia

Belarus 0-2 England

Latvia 1-1 Israel

Iceland 1-1 Macedonia

Lituania 2-o Feroe Islands

N.Ireland 3-0 San Marino

Greece 1-1 Switzerland

Slovakia 0-1 Poland

Belgium 0-2 Spain

Croatia 4-0 Andorra

Estonia 1-3 Turkey

Italy 1-o Montenegro

Ireland 2-1 Cyprus

Russia 3-1 Finland

Georgia 0-2 Bulgaria

Portugal 3-0 Albania

Small Stakes, small games, big results?

2008-10-14T10:02:00.001-07:00

Once again not much time to think about the games. Consequently small cards, small stakes:

Soccer: 2Wins - 1Loss

France Win

Parana Loss

Santo Andre Win

Hockey : 0W - 3L
For the first time in a long time my ice hockey picks totally stank

HV71+0.5 Loss

Ambri +1.5 Loss

Jesenice + Villach Loss

Fastest write up ever

2008-10-13T10:36:00.000-07:00

Really in a hurry:

Hockey 3W - 0L

Severstal CHerepovec -0.5 Win

SKelleftea +0.5 Win (very glad I did not take the ML)

Buffalo Win

Soccer: 0W - 2L

Padova Loss

Vasby Loss

BIG Board.

2008-10-10T18:44:00.001-07:00

Basketball: 3Wins- oLoss

Real Madrid -5.5 Win
Barcelona -8.5 Win
Siena -11 Win

Ice Hockey: 5W-2L
Ambri Win
Davos Loss
Brynas Win
Chaux + Olten Win
Kiekko-Vanta +0.5 Win
Sparta Sapborg + SKA St Petersbourg Win
Riga + Atlant Loss

College Football: 1W-4L
Oklahoma -6.5 Loss
Northern Illinois -10.5 Loss
Kentucky + 3 Loss
Utah -23.5 Win
Cincinnati -7 Loss

Soccer: an horrible 3W- 5L - 1P
France Loss. I am dumb I should have played the PK
Spain + Austria + Denmark + Slovakia + England Loss (thanks Austria)
Albania under Win
Soudan Win
Israel -1.5 Win
Wales over Loss
Bosnia +1 Push
Portugal over Loss
to win to nil: Spain + England + Denmark Loss Even if they destroyed Kazakhstan its a shame for England to get scored on by this team.

Correct score predictions:

Bulgaria 1-1 Italy
Serbia 1-1 Lithania
Faroe Island 0-2 Austria
Poland 1-1 Tchech Republic
England 3-0 Kazakhstan
Wales 3-0 Liechtenstein
Hungary 1-1 Albania
Sweden 1-2 Portugal
Ukraine 1-1 Croatia
Denmark 3-0 Malta
Holland 2-0 Iceland
Romania 0-1 France
Switzerland 2-0 Latvia
San Marino 0-3 Slovakia
Slovenia 1-1 Northern Ireland
Germany 2-1 Russia
Belgium 2-0 Armenia
Turquie 1-1 Bosnia
Greece 2-o Moldavia

Not the best day ever, hell, at least Klitschko destroyed Peter. That is something I really liked.

Busy day, time to beat the the crap out of today s games.

2008-10-10T00:05:00.000-07:00

Ice Hockey: 3Wins 2Losses 1Push
KHL:
Astana Win
Spartak + Salavat Win

Slovakia:
Liptovsky Mikulas (pretty confident about that one) + over 6 Win and Push

Germany:
Wolfsburg +0.5 Loss
Mannheim Loss

When you are in a hurry...

2008-10-09T16:31:00.000-07:00

...always find the time to throw at least a little pick.

So only pick for today

College Football: 1W-0L

Wake Forest Clemson under 42.5 Win
Which team will win...for me it is too close to call and the under looks the way to go.

The slow week continues and the saga does, too.

2008-10-08T06:35:00.001-07:00

Not much on the battlefield today.
So once again not that many picks

Hockey: 4W - 0L

Champs league:
Salavat -2 (really a gamble, -2 is a big spread for a hockey game, lets roll the dice) Win
Salavat showed why they are the favorite to win the hockey champions league with a big time 7-1 victory against the Slovakian champ.

Finland:
2-teamer: TuTo + D-Team Win

Sweden:
2-teamer: AIK + Vaxjo Win

Vaxjo Win

Soccer: 1W - 5L. I got killed badly today.

Russia:
Sibir Novosibirsk draw Loss
Torpedo Moscow draw Loss Was not far from a very nice cash.
Looking for the big odds in both matches, a draw is not that far fetched but it is absolutely never a lock.

Italy:
Mantova halftime draw Win

Brazil:

Sporting Recife -1 Loss
Why? Because their opponent Vasco has been absolutely horrible lately. It is such a strong trend that I cannot pass on the asian handicap.

Gremio + Recife Loss

Palmeiras Loss, it finished in a goal-less draw
Still at least one class above Figueirense

NBA Pre-season: 1W - 1L
I still dont put too much confidence in these picks, pre-season= crapshoot

New Orleans -1.5 Win

Toronto -6.5 Loss

All I got for you

2008-10-07T05:38:00.000-07:00

Hockey: 4 wins - 4 losses
Austria:
Parlay: Jesenice + Villach + Klagenfurt Win

Germany:
Hamburg Win

Switzerland:
GKC Lions +0.5 Loss

Denmark:
Rodovre + Herning Loss

Finland:
Jokerit Loss A very bad third by Jokerit had them being tied and then beaten.

Poland:
Gdansk over 6.5 Loss unbelievable... only 5 goals scored in a game in which the league leader Gdansk was facing the worst team and worst defense in the league, a defense that allows on average.... 9 goals a game. I think I am going to puke.

Russia:
Atlant Myschichi Win

Slovenia:
Kosice Win

Soccer: 4W - 3L

Portugal:
Setubal under Win

UK:
Crawley Loss last minute loss :(
Burton + over two losses
Kettering Win
Rushden and Diamonds Win

Sweden:
I wanted to pick Ogryte, but it is not worth it. Ogryte won 4 to 2.

Brazil:
Sao Caetano Win

Tennis: 1W - 1L
2 value picks because I think the odds are good in comparison with their chance to win.

Schwank Win
Rochus Loss

College Football oW - 1L
Florida Atlantic + 4 Loss

NBA Pre-season: 2W - oL
Toronto + 3.5 Win
Portland - 7 Win

On a quiet Monday, A good way to start a week.

2008-10-06T14:16:00.000-07:00

Only a recap today as I did not have time to post beforehand.
Maybe an NHL game to come for tonight, not even sure I want to do the analysisright now as I am dead tired. Tomorrow is looking to be a slow day, so probably not much going on around this blog Tuesday, but it looks like there will be plenty of action on Wednesday.

Soccer: 5Wins - 1Loss

Zurich -1 + over Win Win

Thun over Win

Goteborg + Goteborg -1 Win Win

Urziceni Loss

Tennis: 0 Win - 1 Loss

Navarro Loss

Hockey: 2 Wins - 0 Loss

Riga -1.5 Win

Plzen over 5.5 Win

NBA Preseason: 0W-1L

Milwaukee -3.5 Loss
Not putting too much stock on it, afterall it is only pre-season, and pre-season games are as weird as they come. Kind of a toss up pick.

Time to write a little balance sheet

2008-10-05T17:08:00.000-07:00

Since the beginning of the blog I have been tipping on many different sports.
Now is the time to see where I am at with 2 picks pending:

Soccer: 183Wins - 109Losses - 4Pushes

Ice Hockey : 65Wins - 29Losses - 1Push

NCAA Football: 40Wins - 33Losses - 3Pushes

NFL: 16Wins - 11Losses - 1Push

MLB: 15Wins - 11Losses - 3Pushes

Tennis: 1Win - 1Loss

Boxing and UFC: 1Win - 2Losses

WNBA: 10Wins - 7Losses

Men Basketball (not NBA): 5Wins - 8Losses

All sports total: 336Wins - 211Losses - 12Pushes

Gotta get some action

2008-10-05T06:35:00.000-07:00

Ice Hockey: 5Wins 3Losses

Ottawa under Win

New York under Win

Salzburg Loss

Frankfurt -0.5 Loss

Wolfsburg -0.5 Win

Mannheim -0.5 Win

Bietigheim Win

Parlay: Gdansk + Zaglebie + Herning Loss

Soccer: 10W 5L

Mallorca already hedged through live betting. I preferred to take no risks as it did not look good.

Sevilla -1 + over Win Win

Juventus Loss

Atalanta Win

Standard Liege Loss

Gyori Win

Paris under Win

Rangers Loss

Reggina draw Win

Siena Win

Genoa draw Loss

AC Milan Loss

Udinese Win

Osasuna under Win

Ajax over Win

NFL: 5W - 2L

Carolina under 38 Win

Pitt over 37 Win

New England -3 Loss

San Diego -6 Loss

Tenessee -2.5 Win

Arizona -1 Win

Green Bay -3.5 Win

Friday, but not the 13th

2008-10-03T07:38:00.001-07:00

Ice Hockey: total 10 Wins 2 Losses 1 Push

Rodovre Win

Herning Win

Ilves Win

Langnau over 6 Push

Mannheim Loss

Hamburg + Berlin Win

Krefeld Win

Ambri + Davos Loss

Dynamo Moscow Win

Moscow Region Win

Pardubice + Kosice Win

Omsk over 4.5 Win

Traktor over 5.5 Win

Soccer: 18Wins 7Losses 2Pushes

Essen Loss

Duisburg under Win

Leverkusen Loss

Burgas Win

Arsenal Loss

Wigan Loss

Reading Win

Scunthorpe Loss

Rotherham Win

Grenoble Hedged through live betting

LeMans Win

Lille Win

Nantes Win

Staebaek-1 Win

St Gall- 1 Win

Amiens Loss

Guingamps Win

Tour Win

Metz Win

St Patricks Win

Vasco Loss

Ponte Preta + Santo Andre Win

Flamengo Win

Coritiba Win

Gremio Win

Columbus Win

Newells draw (in any case hedged, thanks live betting)

College Football: 11 Wins 10 Losses

Early games:

Cincy -3.5 Win

BYU - 28.5 (wow, why did I do that, such a big spread..) Loss : BYU did not come to play in the second half, pathetic.

Penn State -13.5 Win (on the edge of the blade)

Mich. State -6.5 Loss

South Carolina + 2.5 Win

Illinois +2.5 Win

Oklahoma -27 Win

Navy + 4.5 Win

Arizona State + 9 Loss ( was not far from suceeding)

Fresno -21 Loss

Texas Tech - 7 + over 65.5 Win Win

Colorado + 14 Loss

Florida -22 Win

Tenessee -16.5 Loss

New Mexico -11 Win

Auburn -4 Loss (and the fuckers led 13-0)

Tulane -18 Loss

Maryland -13.5 The game is not over but already a Loss for sure

Rice + 16.5 Loss

TCU -22 Win

Boxing: 1Win - OLoss

Klitschko Win

Thursday Mad Action

2008-10-02T04:54:00.001-07:00

Thursday mad action:
Lot of games that I have an interest on the outcome today. Lets enjoy the action.

College Football: 2 Wins 1 Loss

Pitt + 14 Win Pitt even won ML, too bad I did not bet on it, it paid handsomely.

Utah - 10.5 Loss

Utah over 53 Win

Ice Hockey:

NHL: 6 Wins 1 Losses

Carolina Win

San Jose Loss

KHL

Yaroslavl Win

Severstal Win

Torpedo Loss (value bet, their opponent must be tired after playing back to back).

Denmark:

Totempo Win

Sweden:

Brynas Win

Finland:

Karpat Loss

Exhibition:

Ottawa + Pittsburgh Win

Soccer:
UEFA Cup: 6 Wins 4 Losses

Cherno Varna + 2 Win

Rosenborg over Win

Spartak Loss

Galatasaray over Win

Milan over Loss

Everton over Win

Portsmouth under Win

Kalmar Loss

Valencia -1 Loss

Lech Poznan Win

Scores Prediction:

Olympicaos 3-0 Nordsjaelland

Twente 1-1 Rennes

Sofia 2-1 Zilina

Belgrade 2-0 Timisoara

Galatasaray 3-0 Bellinzona

Rosenborg 2-1 Brondby

Liege 2-1 Everton

Zurich 1-2 Milan

Hereenven 2-0 Setubal

Valencia 2-0 Maritimo

Salzburg 0-2 Sevilla

Copenhagen 1-0 Moscow

Manchester City 3-0 Nicosia

Aston Villa 2-0 Litex

Udinese 2-1 Dortmund

Basketball: 0 Win 1 Loss

Zalgiris -14.5 Loss

Keeping on skating.

2008-10-01T04:23:00.000-07:00

Hockey: 6Wins 5Losses
NHL:

Montreal Win

KHL:

Astana + 0ver 5.5 Win Win
Astana has good potential even if they havent exactly been stellar at home until now. But they had a very very hard schedule at home. Their opponent is not that good.
4 out of 5 of Astana s last games have gone over 5.5

Atlant Mytischi: Win
KHL leader against second to last team.

Niznekamsk against the weakest home team in the league + over 4.5 Loss Loss Smells a little like a fix. Not one goal during a whole ice hockey game.... are the players blind or what?

Slovenia
HDK Maribor PK (value bet) Win
Their opponent has been destroyed last game, so moral must be low.

Sweden:
Very tough league to figure, but lets try to beat 50%

Mora IK Win

Vasteras Loss

Troja Loss

Finland:

Karpat Loss... ended in a draw, after they led for a loong time

Soccer: 5Wins 5Losses

Champions League:

Parlay: longshot, beware: Inter over + Barca over + Liverpool + Sporting Loss

Parlay: Liverpool + Chelsea + Sporting + Barca all to score at least one goal Loss thanks Chelsea...

Parlay: Inter + Liverpool Loss

Inter and over Double Loss

Athletico over Win

Sporting Win

Strong lean: Barca over. Not sure to bet it alone right now, but it is a strong possibility. Win

Upset special: Famagusta Win
If they have to beat one time in the CL it should be the Greeks. Motivation will be at its peak, and lets not forget Famagusta plays at home and crushed Pana s rival Olympiakos in the qualifying rounds.

Goias PK. Win
Goias has been playing so well lately, I cannot bet against them even if they are big dogs according to the bookies.

My Scores Prediction: (that I very probably will not bet, just for your info)

Athletico Madrid 2 - 1 Marseille

Cluj 0-1 Chelsea

Liverpool 2-0 PSV

Inter Milan 3 -1 Werder

Famagusta 1-0 Panathinaikos

Shaktor 1-2 Barcelona

Sporting 2-0 Basel

Bordeau 1-0 Roma

College football:

Boise State over 56 Loss
Not looking too bright at the half, but nothing is over yet.
Second half was relatively low scoring, no help for me.